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Liga de Expansión MX · Full time ·Apertura - 8

Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún

2 – 2 Full time

9′O. Perez
12′C. Trejo
23′B. Mendoza
39′J. Hernandez
43′Y. Uribe
45′C. Trejo
45′W. Ortega
46′L. LopezP. Uscanga
61′L. Ruiz
65′Y. UribeD. Mina
65′B. MendozaT. Sandoval
66′B. El-mesmariA. Alvarez
66′K. CamposG. Preciado
79′D. Mina
81′O. IslasJ. Estopier
83′L. RuizC. Vela
83′A. ChavezA. Arredondo
89′D. Mina
90′J. Rodriguez
90′J. Rodriguez
90′E. TorresJ. Cantu
90′J. Rodriguez
90′J. Rodriguez

Referee: E. A. Ramirez Gutierrez

Correcaminos Uat 39%
Draw 27%
Cancún 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCorrecaminos UatDrawCancún
Model35.2%24.1%40.7%
Market40.9%27.6%31.5%
Final39.5%26.7%33.8%
Edge-5.7%-3.5%+9.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Correcaminos U ↓ / Cancún → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Correcaminos Uat and Cancún expected goals

Correcaminos Uat 1.68
Cancún 1.82

Total expected goals: 3.50

Correcaminos Uat and Cancún attack and defence ratings

Correcaminos Uat

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Cancún

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún: result vs prediction

Correcaminos Uat 2 – 2 Cancún

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Apertura - 8 fixtures

Liga de Expansión MX

Before and after this match

Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Correcaminos Uat 39.5% 2.53 -5.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.9% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.1% 1.45 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.3% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.8% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Correcaminos Uat39.5%
Draw26.7%
Cancún33.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.9%
Under 2.532.1%
Both teams to scoreYes69.1%
No30.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.2%
12 (either side)73.3%
X2 (draw or away)60.5%
Handicap -1Correcaminos Uat win18.1%
Push (exactly one goal)17.1%
Loss64.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.2%
1-28.4%
2-17.8%

Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún stats

Correcaminos Uat and Cancún recent form

newest first
Correcaminos Uat LDWLWW
Cancún WLWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Correcaminos Uat and Cancún going into this match

league record before kick-off

Correcaminos Uat record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.

Cancún record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Correcaminos Uat wins 1Draws 6Cancún wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-04Correcaminos UatCancúnLiga de Expansión MX1-3
2025-10-26CancúnCorrecaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX5-0
2025-01-12CancúnCorrecaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX2-1
2024-10-17Correcaminos UatCancúnLiga de Expansión MX1-3
2024-02-01Correcaminos UatCancúnLiga de Expansión MX3-1
2023-08-06CancúnCorrecaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX2-1
2023-01-26CancúnCorrecaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX0-1
2022-08-12Correcaminos UatCancúnLiga de Expansión MX0-0
2022-03-02Correcaminos UatCancúnLiga de Expansión MX0-1
2021-08-11CancúnCorrecaminos UatLiga de Expansión MX0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Correcaminos Uat vs Cancún odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 27.0%, away 30.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.16 3.50 3.10
1xBet 2.21 3.30 2.91
888Sport 2.10 3.30 2.90
Bet365 2.30 3.30 3.00
BetVictor 2.25 3.40 2.88
Betano 2.15 3.40 3.05
Betfair 2.05 3.50 3.00
Dafabet 2.15 3.50 3.10
Marathonbet 2.19 3.30 2.85
Pinnacle 2.31 3.53 3.00
Superbet 2.12 3.40 3.05
Unibet 2.04 3.35 3.20
William Hill 2.20 3.25 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.23 ▲ +0.28
X 3.30 ▼ -0.18
2 2.90 ▼ -0.44

11 snapshots recorded, from .