Jong Utrecht
vs
Heracles
1 – 6 Full time
Jong Utrecht vs Heracles overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Jong Utrecht vs Heracles
| Probability | Jong Utrecht | Draw | Heracles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.8% | 24.2% | 20.0% |
| Market | 20.8% | 21.7% | 57.5% |
| Final | 29.6% | 22.3% | 48.1% |
| Edge | +35.0% | +2.6% | -37.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Jong Utrecht and Heracles expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Jong Utrecht and Heracles attack and defence ratings
Jong Utrecht
Heracles
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Jong Utrecht vs Heracles: result vs prediction
Jong Utrecht 1 – 6 Heracles
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Jong Utrecht vs Heracles markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Heracles | 48.1% | 2.08 | -37.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jong Utrecht | 29.6% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Heracles | 48.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% |
| No | 42.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Heracles win | 7.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 12.2% | |
| Loss | 80.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.2% |
Jong Utrecht vs Heracles stats
Jong Utrecht and Heracles recent form
| Jong Utrecht |
LLWDWL |
| Heracles |
WWLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Jong Utrecht and Heracles going into this match
Jong Utrecht record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Heracles record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 4.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Jong Utrecht vs Heracles head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-03 | Heracles | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 6-1 |
| 2022-08-15 | Jong Utrecht | Heracles | Eerste Divisie | 0-3 |
| 2020-09-02 | Heracles | Jong Utrecht | Friendlies Clubs | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Jong Utrecht vs Heracles odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.8%, draw 21.7%, away 57.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.33 | 4.33 | 1.65 |
| 1xBet | 4.46 | 4.30 | 1.62 |
| 888Sport | 4.33 | 4.00 | 1.65 |
| Bet365 | 4.75 | 4.10 | 1.62 |
| BetVictor | 4.50 | 4.33 | 1.57 |
| Betano | 4.45 | 4.30 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 4.50 | 4.33 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 4.70 | 4.50 | 1.64 |
| Marathonbet | 4.50 | 4.30 | 1.60 |
| Pinnacle | 4.55 | 4.39 | 1.65 |
| SBO | 4.18 | 4.10 | 1.56 |
| Superbet | 4.45 | 4.30 | 1.62 |
| Unibet | 4.70 | 4.25 | 1.53 |
| William Hill | 4.33 | 4.00 | 1.65 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .