FC OSS
vs
Jong Utrecht
2 – 1 Full time
FC OSS vs Jong Utrecht overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC OSS vs Jong Utrecht
| Probability | FC OSS | Draw | Jong Utrecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.5% | 24.0% | 22.5% |
| Market | 46.0% | 24.7% | 29.3% |
| Final | 47.9% | 24.5% | 27.6% |
| Edge | +7.5% | -0.6% | -6.9% |
Why FC OSS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC OSS below the model: +7.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC OSS and Jong Utrecht expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
FC OSS and Jong Utrecht attack and defence ratings
FC OSS
Jong Utrecht
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC OSS vs Jong Utrecht: result vs prediction
FC OSS 2 – 1 Jong Utrecht
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC OSS vs Jong Utrecht markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC OSS | 47.9% | 2.09 | +7.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC OSS | 47.9% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Jong Utrecht | 27.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% |
| No | 38.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC OSS win | 31.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 46.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.1% |
FC OSS vs Jong Utrecht stats
FC OSS and Jong Utrecht recent form
| FC OSS |
LLLWWW |
| Jong Utrecht |
LLLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC OSS and Jong Utrecht going into this match
FC OSS record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Jong Utrecht record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
FC OSS vs Jong Utrecht head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | FC OSS | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-24 | Jong Utrecht | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-03 | Jong Utrecht | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-05 | FC OSS | Jong Utrecht | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-30 | FC OSS | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-13 | Jong Utrecht | FC OSS | Friendlies Clubs | 3-3 |
| 2024-02-26 | Jong Utrecht | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 0-3 |
| 2023-10-23 | FC OSS | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 2-0 |
| 2023-07-21 | Jong Utrecht | FC OSS | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2023-04-10 | Jong Utrecht | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 4-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC OSS vs Jong Utrecht odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.0%, draw 24.7%, away 29.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.02 | 3.80 | 3.16 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.70 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.90 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.80 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.16 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 4.00 | 3.19 |
| SBO | 2.01 | 3.33 | 2.83 |
| Superbet | 2.12 | 3.65 | 3.05 |
| Unibet | 2.00 | 3.85 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .