Waalwijk
vs
Jong PSV U21
2 – 2 Full time
Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21
| Probability | Waalwijk | Draw | Jong PSV U21 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.4% | 27.1% | 23.6% |
| Market | 54.5% | 22.6% | 23.0% |
| Final | 53.2% | 23.7% | 23.1% |
| Edge | -5.1% | +4.5% | +0.6% |
Why Waalwijk
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.06.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Waalwijk and Jong PSV U21 expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.68
Waalwijk and Jong PSV U21 attack and defence ratings
Waalwijk
Jong PSV U21
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21: result vs prediction
Waalwijk 2 – 2 Jong PSV U21
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waalwijk | 53.2% | 1.88 | -5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.6% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waalwijk | 53.2% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Jong PSV U21 | 23.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Waalwijk win | 26.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 50.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.5% |
Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 stats
Waalwijk and Jong PSV U21 recent form
| Waalwijk |
DDDDLD |
| Jong PSV U21 |
WLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Waalwijk and Jong PSV U21 going into this match
Waalwijk record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Jong PSV U21 record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Waalwijk | Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie | 4-1 |
| 2025-12-01 | Jong PSV U21 | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 3-1 |
| 2019-03-29 | Jong PSV U21 | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2018-11-09 | Waalwijk | Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie | 3-5 |
| 2018-03-09 | Waalwijk | Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie | 3-2 |
| 2017-10-20 | Jong PSV U21 | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 3-2 |
| 2017-02-24 | Jong PSV U21 | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 4-1 |
| 2016-09-30 | Waalwijk | Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Waalwijk vs Jong PSV U21 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.5%, draw 22.6%, away 23.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.73 | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 4.15 | 4.03 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.15 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.74 | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 4.15 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 4.32 | 3.99 |
| SBO | 1.63 | 3.76 | 3.71 |
| Superbet | 1.72 | 4.10 | 4.00 |
| Unibet | 1.67 | 3.95 | 3.95 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 4.00 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .