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Eerste Divisie · Full time ·Matchday 8

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax

1 – 1 Full time

15′emre unuvar
47′Michael Bresser
53′Mark Verkuijl
53′Marvyn Muzungu
56′Mark VerkuijlTijn Peters
56′emre unuvarJano Monserrate
56′Levi AcheampongDiego Pugno
59′Pharell Nash
65′Austyn Jones
70′Samuel DumbiliFabio Kluit
70′Shuryjano CornecionJim Koller
70′Leroy FränkelAvery Appiah
70′Souleymane SidibeManuel Bahaty
76′Sinclair de FalcoJahyendrow Amour
77′Amir BouhamdiK Duah
84′Kyano PensoEssien Bassey
90′Austyn Jones

De Herdgang, EindhovenReferee: Wouter Wiersma, Netherlands

Jong PSV U21 57%
Draw 21%
Jong Ajax 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 7
48 Possession % 52
4 Corners 5
8 Fouls 15
4 Offsides 1
5 Saves 4
347 Accurate passes 349

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJong PSV U21DrawJong Ajax
Model49.4%23.0%27.6%
Market60.0%20.2%19.8%
Final57.3%20.9%21.8%
Edge-10.5%+2.8%+7.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Jong PSV U21

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.52.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Jong PSV U21 ↓ / Jong Ajax → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Jong PSV U21 and Jong Ajax expected goals

Jong PSV U21 2.06
Jong Ajax 1.52

Total expected goals: 3.58

Jong PSV U21 and Jong Ajax attack and defence ratings

Jong PSV U21

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Jong Ajax

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.43 +43%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax: result vs prediction

Jong PSV U21 1 – 1 Jong Ajax

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Jong PSV U21 57.3% 1.74 -10.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.4% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.1% 1.45 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 79.1% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.6% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Jong PSV U2157.3%
Draw20.9%
Jong Ajax21.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.4%
Under 2.530.6%
Both teams to scoreYes69.1%
No30.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.2%
12 (either side)79.1%
X2 (draw or away)42.7%
Handicap -1Jong PSV U21 win29.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss50.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.6%
2-19.0%
2-26.8%

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax stats

Jong PSV U21 and Jong Ajax recent form

newest first
Jong PSV U21 DWLWLL
Jong Ajax WLLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Jong PSV U21 and Jong Ajax going into this match

league record before kick-off

Jong PSV U21 record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Jong Ajax record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Jong PSV U21 wins 4Draws 5Jong Ajax wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-17Jong PSV U21Jong AjaxEerste Divisie0-1
2025-10-17Jong AjaxJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie2-2
2025-01-20Jong AjaxJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie4-0
2024-08-12Jong PSV U21Jong AjaxEerste Divisie2-2
2024-03-15Jong AjaxJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie3-0
2023-12-15Jong PSV U21Jong AjaxEerste Divisie2-2
2023-04-17Jong AjaxJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie5-4
2022-12-15Jong PSV U21Jong AjaxEerste Divisie2-2
2022-02-07Jong AjaxJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie2-0
2021-09-10Jong PSV U21Jong AjaxEerste Divisie3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong Ajax odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.0%, draw 20.2%, away 19.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.55 4.75 4.60
1xBet 1.55 4.65 4.69
Bet365 1.57 4.50 5.00
BetVictor 1.53 4.60 4.60
Betano 1.57 4.55 4.70
Betfair 1.50 4.75 5.00
Dafabet 1.59 4.80 4.80
Marathonbet 1.53 4.65 4.75
Pinnacle 1.56 4.80 4.88
SBO 1.52 4.35 4.20
Superbet 1.57 4.55 4.55
Unibet 1.52 4.50 4.50
William Hill 1.55 4.50 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.55 ▼ -0.22
X 4.60 ▲ +0.40
2 4.69 ▲ +0.91

5 snapshots recorded, from .