Heracles
vs
Vitesse
2 – 0 Full time
| 6′ | Jeredy Hilterman | ||
| 11′ | Jean-Paul N'djoli | ||
| 24′ | Marco Schikora | ||
| 39′ | omar achouitar | ||
| 45′ | Max HauswirthDavid Tomic | ||
| 45′ | Tristan Van GilstThomas Bruns | ||
| 66′ | Chafik AbbasJeff Reine-Adélaïde | ||
| 66′ | Filipe de Carvalho FerreiraJoâo Pinto | ||
| 66′ | Jeredy HiltermanNino Zonneveld | ||
| 66′ | Mathijs MarschalkYoussef Ouallil | ||
| 76′ | Manny Rodriguez Baldera | ||
| 78′ | Xiamaro thenuEduard·Probst | ||
| 78′ | omar achouitarAlexander Büttner | ||
| 79′ | Aymen·Sellouf | ||
| 80′ | Jean-Paul N'djoliMario Engels | ||
| 81′ | Thomas Bruns | ||
| 83′ | Nathangelo Markelo |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 324 | Accurate passes | 254 |
Heracles vs Vitesse overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Heracles vs Vitesse
| Probability | Heracles | Draw | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.2% | 23.8% | 37.0% |
| Market | 59.8% | 20.8% | 19.4% |
| Final | 54.6% | 21.6% | 23.8% |
| Edge | -20.6% | +3.0% | +17.6% |
Why Heracles
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Heracles and Vitesse expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.57
Heracles and Vitesse attack and defence ratings
Heracles
Vitesse
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Heracles vs Vitesse: result vs prediction
Heracles 2 – 0 Vitesse
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Heracles vs Vitesse markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Heracles | 54.6% | 1.83 | -20.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Heracles | 54.6% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Vitesse | 23.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.2% |
| No | 29.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Heracles win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 60.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Heracles vs Vitesse stats
Heracles and Vitesse recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Heracles and Vitesse going into this match
Heracles record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 3.4 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Vitesse record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Heracles vs Vitesse head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-10 | Heracles | Vitesse | Eredivisie | 3-2 |
| 2023-12-10 | Vitesse | Heracles | Eredivisie | 2-0 |
| 2022-03-13 | Heracles | Vitesse | Eredivisie | 0-0 |
| 2021-12-12 | Vitesse | Heracles | Eredivisie | 2-1 |
| 2021-01-09 | Heracles | Vitesse | Eredivisie | 0-2 |
| 2020-10-03 | Vitesse | Heracles | Eredivisie | 3-0 |
| 2020-01-22 | Heracles | Vitesse | KNVB Beker | 0-2 |
| 2019-08-24 | Heracles | Vitesse | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2019-03-16 | Heracles | Vitesse | Eredivisie | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Heracles vs Vitesse odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.8%, draw 20.8%, away 19.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.40 | 4.86 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.50 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.45 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 4.65 | 4.82 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .