NAC Breda
vs
FC Eindhoven
4 – 2 Full time
| 4′ | Charles-Andreas Brym | ||
| 19′ | Amir Bryson | ||
| 58′ | Kevin van VeenLasse Abildgaard | ||
| 58′ | Amir Brysonantonio bazdaric | ||
| 61′ | Moussa Soumano | ||
| 66′ | Boyd LucassenMohamed Bouchouari | ||
| 67′ | Xander BlommeNiek Munsters | ||
| 68′ | Luc NettenClint Essers | ||
| 69′ | Niek Munsters | ||
| 70′ | Junior PoortvlietGideon Constancia | ||
| 77′ | Jannes Van HeckeFredrik Jensen | ||
| 77′ | Charles-Andreas BrymGabriel Osei Misehouy | ||
| 80′ | Rio·Hillen | ||
| 81′ | Niek Munsters | ||
| 84′ | Guus Beaumont | ||
| 86′ | Mohamed Bouchouari | ||
| 87′ | Kamal SowahImran Nazih | ||
| 87′ | Moussa SoumanoPaul Gladon | ||
| 90′ | Imran Nazih |
Match stats
| 26 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 13 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 321 | Accurate passes | 269 |
NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven overview
Garuda Lions analysis: NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven
| Probability | NAC Breda | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.5% | 23.9% | 31.6% |
| Market | 68.4% | 18.5% | 13.2% |
| Final | 62.4% | 19.8% | 17.8% |
| Edge | -23.9% | +5.4% | +18.4% |
Why NAC Breda
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.59.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
NAC Breda and FC Eindhoven expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.49
NAC Breda and FC Eindhoven attack and defence ratings
NAC Breda
FC Eindhoven
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven: result vs prediction
NAC Breda 4 – 2 FC Eindhoven
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NAC Breda | 62.4% | 1.60 | -23.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NAC Breda | 62.4% |
| Draw | 19.8% | |
| FC Eindhoven | 17.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.6% |
| No | 31.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | NAC Breda win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 55.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven stats
NAC Breda and FC Eindhoven recent form
| NAC Breda |
WLLDWL |
| FC Eindhoven |
WWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
NAC Breda and FC Eindhoven going into this match
NAC Breda record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Eindhoven record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | NAC Breda | FC Eindhoven | Friendlies Clubs | 0-2 |
| 2024-07-17 | NAC Breda | FC Eindhoven | Friendlies Clubs | 3-0 |
| 2024-02-09 | NAC Breda | FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
| 2023-08-25 | FC Eindhoven | NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie | 2-0 |
| 2023-04-21 | FC Eindhoven | NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie | 1-2 |
| 2023-01-10 | NAC Breda | FC Eindhoven | KNVB Beker | 2-1 |
| 2022-09-02 | NAC Breda | FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-23 | NAC Breda | FC Eindhoven | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2022-01-08 | NAC Breda | FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie | 0-0 |
| 2021-09-24 | FC Eindhoven | NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
NAC Breda vs FC Eindhoven odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.4%, draw 18.5%, away 13.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 5.00 | 7.26 |
| Bet365 | 1.38 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.38 | 4.90 | 6.90 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.34 | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.38 | 5.23 | 7.12 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 4.67 | 6.18 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.80 | 6.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .