Eerste Divisie
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Dordrecht
vs
Almere City FC
3 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | Olivier de Nijs | ||
| 22′ | Beni Christophe Mpanzu | ||
| 45′ | Milan de HaanJob Kalisvaart | ||
| 45′ | Byron BurgeringEmanuel Poku | ||
| 45′ | Olivier de NijsJamie Jacobs | ||
| 58′ | Stan Henderikx | ||
| 59′ | Dario SitsLucas Gardenier | ||
| 60′ | Lucas Ayrton RománA. Ouarghi | ||
| 65′ | Beni Christophe Mpanzu | ||
| 71′ | Martin VetkalJ. de Bie | ||
| 77′ | Stan Henderikx | ||
| 80′ | Teun BijleveldImmanuel Ghogli | ||
| 80′ | Enzo CornelisseL. Lenssen | ||
| 85′ | Lorenzo RiccioYannis M'Bemba | ||
| 85′ | nicolas rossiAdil Lechkar | ||
| 90′ | Joey Jacobs | ||
| 90′ | A. Ouarghi |
Dordrecht
26%
Draw
21%
Almere City FC
53%
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 282 | Accurate passes | 446 |
Dordrecht vs Almere City FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dordrecht vs Almere City FC
| Probability | Dordrecht | Draw | Almere City FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 8.7% | 15.5% | 75.9% |
| Market | 31.1% | 23.3% | 45.5% |
| Final | 25.5% | 21.4% | 53.1% |
| Edge | -22.4% | -7.9% | +30.3% |
Why Almere City FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.75 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Almere City FC below the model: +30.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
70%
No goals
3%
Dordrecht and Almere City FC expected goals
Dordrecht
0.87
Almere City FC
2.75
Total expected goals: 3.62
Dordrecht and Almere City FC attack and defence ratings
Dordrecht
Attack
0.77 -23%
Defence
1.53 +53%
Almere City FC
Attack
1.21 +21%
Defence
0.64 -36%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dordrecht vs Almere City FC: result vs prediction
Dordrecht 3 – 2 Almere City FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dordrecht vs Almere City FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almere City FC | 53.1% | 1.88 | +30.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Almere City FC win | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dordrecht | 25.5% |
| Draw | 21.4% | |
| Almere City FC | 53.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.2% |
| No | 44.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Almere City FC win | 56.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 24.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.1% |
| 0-3 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 8.8% |
Dordrecht vs Almere City FC stats
Dordrecht and Almere City FC recent form
| Dordrecht |
LLLLLD |
| Almere City FC |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dordrecht and Almere City FC going into this match
Dordrecht record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Almere City FC record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dordrecht vs Almere City FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
0Dordrecht wins
3Draws
7Almere City FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Almere City FC | Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie | 4-1 |
| 2025-11-03 | Dordrecht | Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie | 0-1 |
| 2023-03-03 | Dordrecht | Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie | 0-1 |
| 2022-11-13 | Almere City FC | Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2022-07-22 | Almere City FC | Dordrecht | Friendlies Clubs | 1-0 |
| 2022-02-04 | Dordrecht | Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
| 2021-09-24 | Almere City FC | Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
| 2021-07-23 | Dordrecht | Almere City FC | Friendlies Clubs | 2-3 |
| 2021-01-22 | Almere City FC | Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie | 3-0 |
| 2020-10-18 | Dordrecht | Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dordrecht vs Almere City FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.1%, draw 23.3%, away 45.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.04 | 3.80 | 2.05 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 4.20 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 4.00 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 3.02 | 3.80 | 2.03 |
| Pinnacle | 3.08 | 4.08 | 2.08 |
| SBO | 2.76 | 3.44 | 2.02 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.00 ▼ -0.02
X
4.00 ▲ +0.16
2
2.05 ▲ +0.01
14 snapshots recorded, from .