Eerste Divisie · Full time ·Matchday 9

Den Bosch vs Dordrecht

1 – 1 Full time

52′Wang BohaoSheddy Barglan
53′Senne Vugts
55′Senne Vugts
62′Dario Sits
62′Dario Sitsjoey bie de
62′Senne VugtsSiginhio Gerardo-Felicia
71′Jeffry FortesEmian-Johar Semedo
71′Silvan BrökerLorenzo Hoffman
71′Jack de VriesJari Kruijff De
77′nicolas rossiLucas Gardenier
81′Beni Christophe Mpanzu
82′Kevin Monzialo
90′ayoub ouarghiAdil Lechkar

Stadion de Vliert, 'S-Hertogenbosch

Den Bosch 49%
Draw 23%
Dordrecht 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
54 Possession % 46
6 Corners 3
12 Fouls 21
0 Offsides 1
0 Saves 4
313 Accurate passes 265

Den Bosch vs Dordrecht overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Den Bosch vs Dordrecht

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDen BoschDrawDordrecht
Model52.4%21.5%26.1%
Market48.4%23.6%28.0%
Final49.4%23.1%27.5%
Edge+4.0%-2.1%-1.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Den Bosch

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.59.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Den Bosch below the model: +4.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Den Bosch ↓ / Dordrecht → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 7% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Den Bosch and Dordrecht expected goals

Den Bosch 2.28
Dordrecht 1.59

Total expected goals: 3.87

Den Bosch and Dordrecht attack and defence ratings

Den Bosch

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Dordrecht

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.49 +49%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Den Bosch vs Dordrecht: result vs prediction

Den Bosch 1 – 1 Dordrecht

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

Den Bosch vs Dordrecht markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Den Bosch 49.4% 2.02 +4.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.3% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.4% 1.38 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.9% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.5% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Den Bosch49.4%
Draw23.1%
Dordrecht27.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.3%
Under 2.525.7%
Both teams to scoreYes72.4%
No27.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.5%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)50.6%
Handicap -1Den Bosch win32.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss47.5%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.6%
1-18.3%
2-26.9%

Den Bosch vs Dordrecht stats

Den Bosch and Dordrecht recent form

newest first
Den Bosch LWLLLW
Dordrecht WLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Den Bosch and Dordrecht going into this match

league record before kick-off

Den Bosch record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Dordrecht record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Den Bosch vs Dordrecht head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Den Bosch wins 1Draws 7Dordrecht wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-23DordrechtDen BoschEerste Divisie3-2
2025-09-12Den BoschDordrechtEerste Divisie3-3
2025-04-12DordrechtDen BoschEerste Divisie4-0
2024-12-01Den BoschDordrechtEerste Divisie2-3
2024-03-29Den BoschDordrechtEerste Divisie0-3
2023-10-27DordrechtDen BoschEerste Divisie5-1
2023-07-21DordrechtDen BoschFriendlies Clubs2-0
2023-03-17Den BoschDordrechtEerste Divisie3-1
2022-09-09DordrechtDen BoschEerste Divisie2-1
2022-04-08Den BoschDordrechtEerste Divisie3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Den Bosch vs Dordrecht odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.4%, draw 23.6%, away 28.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.93 3.92 3.26
Bet365 1.91 3.90 3.50
BetVictor 1.85 4.10 3.30
Betano 1.90 3.90 3.50
Betfair 1.90 4.20 3.25
Marathonbet 1.91 3.92 3.25
Pinnacle 1.88 4.20 3.52
SBO 1.91 3.57 3.07
William Hill 1.91 3.80 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.91 ▲ +0.08
X 3.92 ▼ -0.13
2 3.30 ▼ -0.25

12 snapshots recorded, from .