FC OSS
vs
MVV
4 – 1 Full time
| 27′ | Toni Vinogradac | ||
| 39′ | Mauresmo Hinoke | ||
| 51′ | Mauresmo Hinoke | ||
| 53′ | Mauresmo Hinoke | ||
| 60′ | Mauresmo HinokeMaurilio de Lannoy | ||
| 68′ | Delano AsanteYael Liesdek | ||
| 68′ | Robert KlaasenMika Luijendijk | ||
| 68′ | Noa El HamdaouiOnesime Zimuangana | ||
| 70′ | Franslyn NsingiAndy Visser | ||
| 70′ | K. LubranoJacey Pansa | ||
| 70′ | Justin MathieuJafar Bynoe | ||
| 76′ | Maurilio de Lannoy | ||
| 79′ | Richard van der VenneLars Mol |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 32 | Possession % | 68 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 163 | Accurate passes | 471 |
FC OSS vs MVV overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC OSS vs MVV
| Probability | FC OSS | Draw | MVV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.9% | 24.5% | 19.6% |
| Market | 41.5% | 26.7% | 31.8% |
| Final | 45.1% | 26.1% | 28.8% |
| Edge | +14.4% | -2.2% | -12.2% |
Why FC OSS
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 1.04.
- The market prices FC OSS below the model: +14.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC OSS and MVV expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.93
FC OSS and MVV attack and defence ratings
FC OSS
MVV
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC OSS vs MVV: result vs prediction
FC OSS 4 – 1 MVV
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC OSS vs MVV markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC OSS | 45.1% | 2.22 | +14.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC OSS | 45.1% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| MVV | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC OSS win | 33.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 44.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.5% |
FC OSS vs MVV stats
FC OSS and MVV recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC OSS and MVV going into this match
FC OSS record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
MVV record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC OSS vs MVV head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | MVV | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-08 | FC OSS | MVV | Eerste Divisie | 4-0 |
| 2025-01-10 | FC OSS | MVV | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-27 | MVV | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
| 2023-12-22 | MVV | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-10 | FC OSS | MVV | Eerste Divisie | 0-1 |
| 2023-02-10 | MVV | FC OSS | Eerste Divisie | 5-1 |
| 2022-10-07 | FC OSS | MVV | Eerste Divisie | 0-1 |
| 2022-05-06 | FC OSS | MVV | Eerste Divisie | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC OSS vs MVV odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 26.7%, away 31.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.46 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.45 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.46 | 2.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27 | 3.59 | 3.02 |
| SBO | 2.17 | 3.26 | 2.77 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .