Eerste Divisie · Full time ·Matchday 9

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ

1 – 1 Full time

18′Madi Monamay
34′Austyn Jones
45′Wassim bouzianeYoël van den Ban
54′rio robbemond
56′Yoël van den Ban
60′rio robbemondBogdan Budko
60′Bendegúz KovácsJerolldino Armantrading
60′Andrea NataliFrej Elkjær Andersen
60′Fabio KluitSamuel Dumbili
60′Austyn JonesMikkel Bro Hansen
68′Gino VerhulstRivas Manuhutu
69′Souleymane SidibeBoet Mulders
83′Shuryjano CornecionPhilip Holseter-Karlsen
84′Jerolldino Armantrading
86′J. EsajasKiani Inge

De Herdgang, Eindhoven

Jong PSV U21 38%
Draw 23%
Jong AZ 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 4
53 Possession % 47
7 Corners 4
11 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 3
3 Saves 6
482 Accurate passes 419

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJong PSV U21DrawJong AZ
Model39.9%23.3%36.8%
Market37.3%22.8%39.9%
Final37.9%23.0%39.1%
Edge+2.6%+0.5%-3.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Jong AZ

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Jong PSV U21 ↓ / Jong AZ → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Jong PSV U21 and Jong AZ expected goals

Jong PSV U21 1.89
Jong AZ 1.81

Total expected goals: 3.70

Jong PSV U21 and Jong AZ attack and defence ratings

Jong PSV U21

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Jong AZ

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ: result vs prediction

Jong PSV U21 1 – 1 Jong AZ

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Jong AZ 39.1% 2.56 -3.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.4% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.8% 1.39 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.0% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.2% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Jong PSV U2137.9%
Draw23.0%
Jong AZ39.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.4%
Under 2.528.6%
Both teams to scoreYes71.8%
No28.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.9%
12 (either side)77.0%
X2 (draw or away)62.1%
Handicap -1Jong AZ win19.7%
Push (exactly one goal)17.2%
Loss63.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.3%
2-18.0%
1-27.7%

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ stats

Jong PSV U21 and Jong AZ recent form

newest first
Jong PSV U21 LWDDWL
Jong AZ LWWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Jong PSV U21 and Jong AZ going into this match

league record before kick-off

Jong PSV U21 record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.

Jong AZ record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 3.5 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Jong PSV U21 wins 2Draws 3Jong AZ wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-13Jong AZJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie0-2
2025-08-29Jong PSV U21Jong AZEerste Divisie1-0
2025-04-07Jong AZJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie2-2
2024-11-25Jong PSV U21Jong AZEerste Divisie2-1
2024-03-08Jong AZJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie4-1
2023-11-24Jong PSV U21Jong AZEerste Divisie1-2
2023-02-27Jong PSV U21Jong AZEerste Divisie3-3
2022-12-12Jong AZJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie2-3
2022-04-01Jong AZJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie2-0
2021-11-01Jong PSV U21Jong AZEerste Divisie2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.3%, draw 22.8%, away 39.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.48 4.05 2.34
Bet365 2.55 3.80 2.45
BetVictor 2.45 4.10 2.30
Betano 2.55 4.05 2.32
Betfair 2.40 4.20 2.30
Marathonbet 2.48 4.05 2.34
Pinnacle 2.53 4.23 2.39
SBO 2.56 3.64 2.06
William Hill 2.45 3.90 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.48 ▲ +0.25
X 4.05 ▲ +0.05
2 2.32 ▼ -0.23

8 snapshots recorded, from .