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Eerste Divisie · Full time ·Matchday 7

Jong AZ vs FC Volendam

4 – 1 Full time

17′Hessel de Wit
30′Jerolldino Armantrading
31′Daan HuismanAlex Plat
31′Mawouna AmevorDeron Payne
31′Kayden WolffY. Jaber el Maftahi
44′rio robbemond
45′Reuven NiemeijerFrederik Ihler
53′Frederik Ihler
61′Bendegúz Kovács
64′Jerolldino ArmantradingYoël van den Ban
70′Julian Oerip
73′Frej Elkjær AndersenMathijs Menu
73′rio robbemondJulian Sijbrands
75′Frederik Ihler
80′Hessel de WitBogdan Budko
80′Bendegúz KovácsMelle Roede

AFAS Trainingscomplex, AlkmaarReferee: Wouter Wiersma

Jong AZ 34%
Draw 24%
FC Volendam 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

21 Shots 8
11 Shots on target 3
45 Possession % 55
5 Corners 3
14 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 6
317 Accurate passes 381

Jong AZ vs FC Volendam overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Jong AZ vs FC Volendam

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJong AZDrawFC Volendam
Model37.5%22.1%40.4%
Market33.5%24.4%42.1%
Final34.5%23.8%41.7%
Edge+4.0%-2.3%-1.7%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Volendam

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Jong AZ ↓ / FC Volendam → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 7% 5% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 4% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

Jong AZ and FC Volendam expected goals

Jong AZ 1.97
FC Volendam 2.05

Total expected goals: 4.02

Jong AZ and FC Volendam attack and defence ratings

Jong AZ

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.17 +17%

FC Volendam

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Jong AZ vs FC Volendam: result vs prediction

Jong AZ 4 – 1 FC Volendam

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

Jong AZ vs FC Volendam markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Volendam 41.7% 2.40 -1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.5% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score Yes 75.7% 1.32 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.2% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.6% 1.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Jong AZ34.5%
Draw23.8%
FC Volendam41.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.5%
Under 2.523.5%
Both teams to scoreYes75.7%
No24.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.3%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)65.5%
Handicap -1FC Volendam win23.0%
Push (exactly one goal)17.5%
Loss59.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.0%
1-27.4%
2-27.3%

Jong AZ vs FC Volendam stats

Jong AZ and FC Volendam recent form

newest first
Jong AZ DLWWLL
FC Volendam WLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Jong AZ and FC Volendam going into this match

league record before kick-off

Jong AZ record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

FC Volendam record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.

Jong AZ vs FC Volendam head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

1Jong AZ wins 1Draws 7FC Volendam wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-11Jong AZFC VolendamFriendlies Clubs3-1
2025-04-14Jong AZFC VolendamEerste Divisie0-1
2024-12-06FC VolendamJong AZEerste Divisie2-0
2022-02-11FC VolendamJong AZEerste Divisie2-1
2021-10-22Jong AZFC VolendamEerste Divisie0-1
2021-05-12FC VolendamJong AZEerste Divisie2-1
2020-10-19Jong AZFC VolendamEerste Divisie2-6
2020-02-10Jong AZFC VolendamEerste Divisie1-1
2019-10-25FC VolendamJong AZEerste Divisie3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Jong AZ vs FC Volendam odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.5%, draw 24.4%, away 42.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.80 3.80 2.18
Bet365 2.88 3.80 2.20
BetVictor 2.70 4.00 2.15
Betano 2.77 3.80 2.25
Betfair 2.63 4.00 2.20
Marathonbet 2.78 3.80 2.16
Pinnacle 2.84 4.02 2.23
SBO 2.69 3.67 2.06
William Hill 2.75 3.60 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.77 ▲ +0.27
X 3.80 ▼ -0.05
2 2.20 ▼ -0.11

10 snapshots recorded, from .