Jong Ajax
vs
Roda
0 – 0 Full time
| 3′ | Fouad Zahouani | ||
| 13′ | Mark Verkuijl | ||
| 17′ | Dario Van Den Buijs | ||
| 44′ | Mark VerkuijlTijn Peters | ||
| 45′ | Fynn SchentenBram Marsman | ||
| 45′ | Jeremiah MensahCain Seedorf | ||
| 48′ | Ryan van de Pavert | ||
| 55′ | Guilherme Martinho PeixotoX. van den Berg | ||
| 60′ | emre unuvarLeo Salazar | ||
| 60′ | Jeshurun SimeonLevi Acheampong | ||
| 80′ | Joey SleegersMokrane Bentoumi | ||
| 86′ | Fouad ZahouaniSinclair de Falco | ||
| 86′ | Ryan van de PavertJinairo Johnson | ||
| 88′ | Joshua NisbetMitchel Paulissen | ||
| 90′ | Dyon Dorenbosch |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Offsides | 5 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 381 | Accurate passes | 343 |
Jong Ajax vs Roda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Jong Ajax vs Roda
| Probability | Jong Ajax | Draw | Roda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.9% | 25.9% | 53.2% |
| Market | 29.2% | 24.4% | 46.4% |
| Final | 27.1% | 24.8% | 48.1% |
| Edge | -8.3% | +1.5% | +6.8% |
Why Roda
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Roda below the model: +6.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Jong Ajax and Roda expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Jong Ajax and Roda attack and defence ratings
Jong Ajax
Roda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Jong Ajax vs Roda: result vs prediction
Jong Ajax 0 – 0 Roda
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Jong Ajax vs Roda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roda | 48.1% | 2.08 | +6.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jong Ajax | 27.1% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Roda | 48.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.7% |
| No | 46.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roda win | 30.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 46.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 0-1 | 9.9% | |
| 1-2 | 9.8% |
Jong Ajax vs Roda stats
Jong Ajax and Roda recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Jong Ajax and Roda going into this match
Jong Ajax record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Roda record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Jong Ajax vs Roda head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Jong Ajax | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-12 | Roda | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie | 3-3 |
| 2024-12-23 | Jong Ajax | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 3-1 |
| 2024-10-25 | Roda | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-26 | Jong Ajax | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-27 | Roda | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2023-01-23 | Jong Ajax | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 1-2 |
| 2022-08-12 | Roda | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2022-04-08 | Roda | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
| 2021-11-22 | Jong Ajax | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Jong Ajax vs Roda odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.2%, draw 24.4%, away 46.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.20 | 3.78 | 1.99 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.80 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 4.00 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.18 | 3.78 | 1.97 |
| Pinnacle | 3.35 | 3.97 | 2.00 |
| SBO | 2.93 | 3.39 | 2.03 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .