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Eerste Divisie · Full time ·Matchday 7

Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo

1 – 3 Full time

14′Nassim Ait Mouhou
18′Tristan Schenkhuizen
38′Jamie Schuldes
45′Emmanuel Chigozie OwenBjorn Menzo
53′Nassim Ait Mouhou
54′Mattheos TsigkasL. Schmidt
54′Ismail Oulad M'HandAndreas Verstraeten
60′Per KloosterboerNoa Malik Dundas
70′Driss LaaouinaKenji Goes
70′Richie OmorowaNana Gyamfi-Amoah
71′Andreas Verstraeten
73′Viggo Plantinga
76′Edhy ZulianiPhilip Heise
76′Mohammed OdrissThomas Janssen
79′Jamie SchuldesLevi Rietveld

Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, UtrechtReferee: Niels Boel

Jong Utrecht 39%
Draw 25%
VVV Venlo 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 8
54 Possession % 46
5 Corners 4
16 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 1
5 Saves 2
378 Accurate passes 302

Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJong UtrechtDrawVVV Venlo
Model38.0%22.1%39.8%
Market38.7%25.9%35.4%
Final38.5%25.0%36.5%
Edge-0.6%-3.8%+4.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Jong Utrecht ↓ / VVV Venlo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 7% 5% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 5% 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

Jong Utrecht and VVV Venlo expected goals

Jong Utrecht 1.98
VVV Venlo 2.03

Total expected goals: 4.00

Jong Utrecht and VVV Venlo attack and defence ratings

Jong Utrecht

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.08 +8%

VVV Venlo

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo: result vs prediction

Jong Utrecht 1 – 3 VVV Venlo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Jong Utrecht 38.5% 2.60 -0.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.2% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score Yes 75.5% 1.32 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.0% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Jong Utrecht38.5%
Draw25.0%
VVV Venlo36.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.2%
Under 2.523.8%
Both teams to scoreYes75.5%
No24.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.5%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)61.5%
Handicap -1Jong Utrecht win21.1%
Push (exactly one goal)16.9%
Loss62.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.0%
1-27.4%
2-27.3%

Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo stats

Jong Utrecht and VVV Venlo recent form

newest first
Jong Utrecht WWDLLL
VVV Venlo WLWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Jong Utrecht and VVV Venlo going into this match

league record before kick-off

Jong Utrecht record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.

VVV Venlo record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Jong Utrecht wins 4Draws 4VVV Venlo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-02Jong UtrechtVVV VenloEerste Divisie2-2
2025-10-21VVV VenloJong UtrechtEerste Divisie0-1
2025-04-01Jong UtrechtVVV VenloEerste Divisie0-0
2024-09-13VVV VenloJong UtrechtEerste Divisie3-2
2024-01-15Jong UtrechtVVV VenloEerste Divisie0-0
2023-08-25VVV VenloJong UtrechtEerste Divisie4-1
2023-05-19Jong UtrechtVVV VenloEerste Divisie1-1
2022-09-02VVV VenloJong UtrechtEerste Divisie2-1
2022-05-06Jong UtrechtVVV VenloEerste Divisie2-3
2021-12-10VVV VenloJong UtrechtEerste Divisie1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Jong Utrecht vs VVV Venlo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.7%, draw 25.9%, away 35.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.38 3.55 2.60
Bet365 2.40 3.80 2.60
BetVictor 2.38 3.75 2.55
Betano 2.50 3.50 2.62
Betfair 2.40 3.80 2.55
Marathonbet 2.38 3.55 2.60
Pinnacle 2.44 3.69 2.72
SBO 2.30 3.47 2.46
William Hill 2.38 3.40 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.38 ▼ -0.12
X 3.55 ▼ -0.05
2 2.60 ▲ +0.16

10 snapshots recorded, from .