Eerste Divisie
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Jong Utrecht
vs
Jong Ajax
6 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | Wessel Kooy | ||
| 14′ | Ryan van de Pavert | ||
| 21′ | Massien Ghaddari | ||
| 41′ | Emmanuel Chigozie Owen | ||
| 41′ | Mark Verkuijl | ||
| 45′ | Oualid AgougilJaygo van Ommeren | ||
| 45′ | Mylo van der LansGeronimo Spina | ||
| 45′ | Tijn PetersJano Monserrate | ||
| 54′ | Noa Malik Dundas | ||
| 55′ | Bjorn Menzo | ||
| 55′ | Pharell NashRayane Bounida | ||
| 55′ | emre unuvarDiego Pugno | ||
| 58′ | Driss LaaouinaYousri Sbai | ||
| 58′ | Noa Malik DundasRichie Omorowa | ||
| 65′ | Bjorn Menzotijn boggende den | ||
| 74′ | Emmanuel Chigozie Owen | ||
| 75′ | Jamie Schuldes | ||
| 75′ | Viggo PlantingaKenji Goes | ||
| 77′ | Marvyn MuzunguJinairo Johnson | ||
| 79′ | Jamie SchuldesLevi Rietveld | ||
| 85′ | Diego Pugno | ||
| 88′ | Massien Ghaddari | ||
| 89′ | Jeshurun SimeonLeo Salazar | ||
| 90′ | Geronimo Spina | ||
| 90′ | Jano Monserrate | ||
| 90′ | Joeri Heerkens |
Jong Utrecht
43%
Draw
24%
Jong Ajax
33%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 229 | Accurate passes | 361 |
Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax
| Probability | Jong Utrecht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.5% | 24.7% | 29.8% |
| Market | 41.8% | 23.8% | 34.4% |
| Final | 42.7% | 24.0% | 33.2% |
| Edge | +3.7% | +0.9% | -4.6% |
Why Jong Utrecht
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.46.
- The market prices Jong Utrecht below the model: +3.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
5%
Jong Utrecht and Jong Ajax expected goals
Jong Utrecht
1.83
Jong Ajax
1.46
Total expected goals: 3.29
Jong Utrecht and Jong Ajax attack and defence ratings
Jong Utrecht
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Jong Ajax
Attack
0.88 -12%
Defence
1.23 +23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax: result vs prediction
Jong Utrecht 6 – 1 Jong Ajax
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jong Utrecht | 42.7% | 2.34 | +3.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jong Utrecht | 42.7% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Jong Ajax | 33.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.4% |
| No | 34.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Jong Utrecht win | 25.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 54.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax stats
Jong Utrecht and Jong Ajax recent form
| Jong Utrecht |
WDLLLL |
| Jong Ajax |
LWDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Jong Utrecht and Jong Ajax going into this match
Jong Utrecht record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Jong Ajax record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Jong Utrecht wins
1Draws
5Jong Ajax wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Jong Ajax | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 0-2 |
| 2025-08-25 | Jong Utrecht | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie | 4-3 |
| 2025-02-28 | Jong Utrecht | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie | 1-2 |
| 2024-10-18 | Jong Ajax | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-05 | Jong Utrecht | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie | 0-1 |
| 2023-12-11 | Jong Ajax | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-24 | Jong Utrecht | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2022-12-11 | Jong Ajax | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 1-2 |
| 2022-01-10 | Jong Utrecht | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie | 0-2 |
| 2021-10-15 | Jong Ajax | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 23.8%, away 34.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 3.94 | 2.71 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.80 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.90 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 4.00 | 2.63 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.94 | 2.70 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 4.13 | 2.75 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.47 | 2.63 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.80 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.22 ▲ +0.12
X
3.90 ▲ +0.15
2
2.70 ▼ -0.23
8 snapshots recorded, from .