Garuda Lions
Today
Eerste Divisie · Full time ·Matchday 9

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap

2 – 2 Full time

22′Rayan·Buifrahi
24′Jannes Luca·Wieckhoff
45′Bjorn van Zijlgabriele finocchiaro
53′gabriele finocchiaro
60′Luc NettenClint Essers
60′Jannes Luca·WieckhoffThomas Kok
60′Hugo DeenenAmir Bryson
68′Julian kaniaKyano Kwint
68′Mark DiemersJorn Triep
70′Kyano Kwint
70′Xander BlommeNiek Munsters
72′Siegert Baartmans
77′Raf van de Riet
77′Nolan Martens
77′Rayan·Buifrahi
85′Donny WarmerdamJoran Hardeman
89′Kevin van Veenantonio bazdaric
89′gijs bolk

Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven

FC Eindhoven 37%
Draw 24%
De Graafschap 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 17
11 Shots on target 5
41 Possession % 59
8 Corners 8
10 Fouls 13
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 7
244 Accurate passes 416

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC EindhovenDrawDe Graafschap
Model47.4%23.0%29.6%
Market33.2%25.0%41.8%
Final36.7%24.5%38.8%
Edge+14.2%-2.0%-12.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Eindhoven ↓ / De Graafschap → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 3%

FC Eindhoven and De Graafschap expected goals

FC Eindhoven 2.04
De Graafschap 1.59

Total expected goals: 3.63

FC Eindhoven and De Graafschap attack and defence ratings

FC Eindhoven

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.21 +21%

De Graafschap

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap: result vs prediction

FC Eindhoven 2 – 2 De Graafschap

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 De Graafschap 38.8% 2.58 -12.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.4% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.2% 1.42 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.5% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.5% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Eindhoven36.7%
Draw24.5%
De Graafschap38.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.4%
Under 2.529.6%
Both teams to scoreYes70.2%
No29.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.2%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)63.3%
Handicap -1De Graafschap win14.4%
Push (exactly one goal)15.1%
Loss70.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.4%
2-18.8%
2-27.0%

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap stats

FC Eindhoven and De Graafschap recent form

newest first
FC Eindhoven LWWDLL
De Graafschap WLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Eindhoven and De Graafschap going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Eindhoven record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.

De Graafschap record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3FC Eindhoven wins 2Draws 5De Graafschap wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-03FC EindhovenDe GraafschapEerste Divisie2-2
2025-11-30De GraafschapFC EindhovenEerste Divisie2-0
2025-04-11FC EindhovenDe GraafschapEerste Divisie1-0
2024-09-06De GraafschapFC EindhovenEerste Divisie2-0
2024-01-19FC EindhovenDe GraafschapEerste Divisie0-1
2023-10-27De GraafschapFC EindhovenEerste Divisie2-1
2023-02-24FC EindhovenDe GraafschapEerste Divisie0-4
2022-12-11De GraafschapFC EindhovenEerste Divisie1-2
2022-05-13FC EindhovenDe GraafschapEredivisie3-1
2022-05-09De GraafschapFC EindhovenEredivisie1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Eindhoven vs De Graafschap odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.2%, draw 25.0%, away 41.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.82 3.72 2.19
Bet365 2.80 3.80 2.25
BetVictor 2.70 3.80 2.20
Betano 2.90 3.60 2.22
Betfair 2.63 4.00 2.25
Marathonbet 2.80 3.72 2.17
Pinnacle 2.92 3.71 2.28
SBO 2.68 3.57 2.09
William Hill 2.75 3.50 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.80 ▼ -0.06
X 3.72 ▼ -0.02
2 2.22 ▲ +0.06

12 snapshots recorded, from .