Almere City FC
vs
FC Eindhoven
3 – 0 Full time
Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven
| Probability | Almere City FC | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 69.9% | 18.4% | 11.7% |
| Market | 67.4% | 18.3% | 14.2% |
| Final | 68.0% | 18.3% | 13.6% |
| Edge | +2.5% | +0.0% | -2.5% |
Why Almere City FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Almere City FC below the model: +2.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Almere City FC and FC Eindhoven expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.41
Almere City FC and FC Eindhoven attack and defence ratings
Almere City FC
FC Eindhoven
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven: result vs prediction
Almere City FC 3 – 0 FC Eindhoven
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almere City FC | 68.0% | 1.47 | +2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Almere City FC win | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almere City FC | 68.0% |
| Draw | 18.3% | |
| FC Eindhoven | 13.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Almere City FC win | 48.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 30.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-1 | 8.5% |
Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven stats
Almere City FC and FC Eindhoven recent form
| Almere City FC |
WLWWLW |
| FC Eindhoven |
DLWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Almere City FC and FC Eindhoven going into this match
Almere City FC record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Eindhoven record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | FC Eindhoven | Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-15 | Almere City FC | FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie | 5-0 |
| 2023-05-26 | Almere City FC | FC Eindhoven | Eredivisie | 3-1 |
| 2023-05-22 | FC Eindhoven | Almere City FC | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-10 | FC Eindhoven | Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie | 0-1 |
| 2022-09-12 | Almere City FC | FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-08 | FC Eindhoven | Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie | 3-1 |
| 2021-12-03 | Almere City FC | FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie | 2-0 |
| 2021-03-12 | FC Eindhoven | Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie | 1-3 |
| 2021-01-08 | Almere City FC | FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Almere City FC vs FC Eindhoven odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.4%, draw 18.3%, away 14.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 5.30 | 6.65 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.40 | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.34 | 5.30 | 6.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 5.49 | 6.49 |
| SBO | 1.36 | 4.73 | 5.61 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .