Roda
vs
Jong PSV U21
1 – 1 Full time
Roda vs Jong PSV U21 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Roda vs Jong PSV U21
| Probability | Roda | Draw | Jong PSV U21 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.3% | 30.7% | 22.0% |
| Market | 55.3% | 22.5% | 22.1% |
| Final | 53.3% | 24.6% | 22.1% |
| Edge | -8.0% | +8.2% | -0.2% |
Why Roda
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Roda and Jong PSV U21 expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.16
Roda and Jong PSV U21 attack and defence ratings
Roda
Jong PSV U21
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Roda vs Jong PSV U21: result vs prediction
Roda 1 – 1 Jong PSV U21
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Roda vs Jong PSV U21 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roda | 53.3% | 1.88 | -8.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roda | 53.3% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Jong PSV U21 | 22.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roda win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 52.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.1% |
| 1-1 | 14.0% | |
| 0-0 | 12.8% |
Roda vs Jong PSV U21 stats
Roda and Jong PSV U21 recent form
| Roda |
LWDWDD |
| Jong PSV U21 |
LDLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Roda and Jong PSV U21 going into this match
Roda record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Jong PSV U21 record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Roda vs Jong PSV U21 head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-06 | Roda | Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-15 | Jong PSV U21 | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-18 | Jong PSV U21 | Roda | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-07 | Roda | Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2024-12-09 | Jong PSV U21 | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 2-3 |
| 2024-08-02 | Jong PSV U21 | Roda | Friendlies Clubs | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-01 | Jong PSV U21 | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 2-3 |
| 2023-12-08 | Roda | Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-04 | Jong PSV U21 | Roda | Friendlies Clubs | 1-3 |
| 2023-04-03 | Jong PSV U21 | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Roda vs Jong PSV U21 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.3%, draw 22.5%, away 22.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 4.15 | 4.24 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 4.15 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.75 | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 4.15 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 4.27 | 4.37 |
| SBO | 1.65 | 3.82 | 3.84 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .