Eerste Divisie · 2026-10-04T12:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 9

VVV Venlo vs Roda

2 – 0 Full time

21′			Philip Heise
43′			Dyon Dorenbosch
53′			L. Schmidt
56′			Marco Tol
60′			Cain SeedorfJoey Sleegers
61′			Koen JansenRayan Khoums
61′			Dyon DorenboschMitchel Paulissen
61′			Tristan SchenkhuizenIsmail Oulad M'Hand
69′			X. van den BergFynn Schenten
71′			Edhy Zuliani
72′			L. SchmidtMattheos Tsigkas
72′			Edhy ZulianiAmir rais
79′			Dario Van Den BuijsGuilherme Martinho Peixoto
82′			Philip HeiseMichael Davis
82′			Andreas VerstraetenYousri El Anbri
83′			Joshua Nisbet
87′			Yousri El Anbri
90′			Amir rais
90′			Mitchel Paulissen

Seacon Stadion De Koel, VenloReferee: Wouter Wiersma

VVV Venlo

39%

Draw

26%

Roda

35%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

15	Shots	7
7	Shots on target	3
52	Possession %	48
6	Corners	3
21	Fouls	18
4	Offsides	1
3	Saves	5
362	Accurate passes	331

VVV Venlo vs Roda overview

Garuda Lions analysis: VVV Venlo vs Roda

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	VVV Venlo	Draw	Roda
Model	39.7%	28.8%	31.5%
Market	38.7%	25.1%	36.2%
Final	39.0%	26.0%	35.0%
Edge	+1.0%	+3.7%	-4.7%

Confidence: Low

Why VVV Venlo

Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

91%

2+ goals

74%

3+ goals

48%

No goals

VVV Venlo and Roda expected goals

VVV Venlo

1.38

Roda

1.21

Total expected goals: 2.59

VVV Venlo and Roda attack and defence ratings

VVV Venlo

Attack

1.32 +32%

Defence

1.03 +3%

Roda

Attack

0.80 -20%

Defence

0.58 -42%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

VVV Venlo vs Roda: result vs prediction

VVV Venlo 2 – 0 Roda

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ — team news & stats · 2026-09-14
Jong Utrecht vs Jong Ajax · 2026-09-14
Helmond Sport v Heracles — match page · 2026-10-02
Vitesse vs NAC Breda — team news & stats · 2026-10-03
FC OSS vs MVV · 2026-10-03
Waalwijk v Emmen — match page · 2026-10-03
Almere City FC vs FC Volendam — team news & stats · 2026-10-03
Den Bosch vs Dordrecht · 2026-10-03

Before and after this match

VVV Venlo, previous: FC Volendam – VVV Venlo, 2026-09-26
VVV Venlo, next: Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo prediction
Roda, previous: Roda vs Waalwijk prediction
Roda, next: Roda vs Jong PSV U21: odds and pick

VVV Venlo vs Roda markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	VVV Venlo	39.0%	2.57	+1.0%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	52.1%	1.92	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	53.7%	1.86	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.0%	1.35	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	60.3%	1.66	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	VVV Venlo	39.0%
	Draw	26.0%
	Roda	35.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	47.9%
	Under 2.5	52.1%
Both teams to score	Yes	53.7%
	No	46.3%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	65.0%
	12 (either side)	74.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	61.0%
Handicap -1	VVV Venlo win	19.1%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.6%
	Loss	60.3%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.8%
	1-0	9.1%
	0-0	8.8%

VVV Venlo vs Roda stats

VVV Venlo and Roda recent form

newest first

VVV Venlo	LWWLWW
Roda	WDWDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

VVV Venlo and Roda going into this match

league record before kick-off

VVV Venlo record

They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Roda record

They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.

VVV Venlo vs Roda head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2VVV Venlo wins 6Draws 2Roda wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-01-26	Roda	VVV Venlo	Eerste Divisie	2-2
2025-08-24	VVV Venlo	Roda	Eerste Divisie	3-1
2025-03-29	Roda	VVV Venlo	Eerste Divisie	1-4
2024-08-25	VVV Venlo	Roda	Eerste Divisie	1-1
2024-04-07	Roda	VVV Venlo	Eerste Divisie	2-1
2023-10-14	VVV Venlo	Roda	Eerste Divisie	1-1
2023-03-19	VVV Venlo	Roda	Eerste Divisie	1-1
2022-10-07	Roda	VVV Venlo	Eerste Divisie	4-1
2022-02-13	VVV Venlo	Roda	Eerste Divisie	1-1
2021-11-26	Roda	VVV Venlo	Eerste Divisie	0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

VVV Venlo vs Roda odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.7%, draw 25.1%, away 36.2%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.34	3.68	2.58
Bet365	2.50	3.80	2.55
BetVictor	2.40	3.70	2.55
Betano	2.42	3.70	2.57
Betfair	2.30	3.80	2.63
Marathonbet	2.34	3.68	2.58
Pinnacle	2.45	3.85	2.61
SBO	2.21	3.31	2.53
William Hill	2.40	3.60	2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.40 —

X 3.70 ▼ -0.02

2 2.57 ▲ +0.04

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-28T08:10:02Z.