Waalwijk
vs
Emmen
1 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | Joshua Mukeh | ||
| 28′ | Luca Everink | ||
| 28′ | Jesse van de Haar | ||
| 44′ | Torben Rhein | ||
| 46′ | Torben RheinSybrand Veldhuis | ||
| 46′ | Joshua MukehChristian ostergaard | ||
| 59′ | Jesse van de Haar | ||
| 61′ | Bryan Van Hove | ||
| 62′ | Ryan fageYoram van der Veen | ||
| 75′ | Loek PostmaTim van de Loo | ||
| 75′ | Jesse van de HaarFinn Stokkers | ||
| 75′ | Virgil MisidjanKeyan Anderson Pereira Varela | ||
| 75′ | Bryan Van HoveVincent Carus | ||
| 76′ | Daan LambersChiel Sunder | ||
| 82′ | Bart KemmerenR. van Hedel | ||
| 84′ | Finn Stokkers | ||
| 89′ | Rodney Kongolo | ||
| 90′ | Casper StaringLuca Denk |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 19 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Saves | 4 |
| 268 | Accurate passes | 356 |
Waalwijk vs Emmen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Waalwijk vs Emmen
| Probability | Waalwijk | Draw | Emmen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.3% | 18.5% | 18.2% |
| Market | 43.7% | 25.6% | 30.7% |
| Final | 48.6% | 23.8% | 27.5% |
| Edge | +19.6% | -7.1% | -12.5% |
Why Waalwijk
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.69 vs 1.44.
- The market prices Waalwijk below the model: +19.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Waalwijk and Emmen expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.12
Waalwijk and Emmen attack and defence ratings
Waalwijk
Emmen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Waalwijk vs Emmen: result vs prediction
Waalwijk 1 – 1 Emmen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Waalwijk vs Emmen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waalwijk | 48.6% | 2.06 | +19.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Waalwijk win | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waalwijk | 48.6% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Emmen | 27.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.7% |
| No | 28.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Waalwijk win | 43.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 36.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.4% |
| 3-1 | 7.5% | |
| 1-1 | 6.9% |
Waalwijk vs Emmen stats
Waalwijk and Emmen recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Waalwijk and Emmen going into this match
Waalwijk record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Emmen record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Waalwijk vs Emmen head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Waalwijk | Emmen | Eerste Divisie | 5-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Emmen | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
| 2023-01-28 | Waalwijk | Emmen | Eredivisie | 2-0 |
| 2022-08-13 | Emmen | Waalwijk | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2021-04-04 | Emmen | Waalwijk | Eredivisie | 3-1 |
| 2021-02-12 | Waalwijk | Emmen | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
| 2019-11-24 | Waalwijk | Emmen | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2018-01-19 | Emmen | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2017-08-18 | Waalwijk | Emmen | Eerste Divisie | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Waalwijk vs Emmen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.7%, draw 25.6%, away 30.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.65 | 3.10 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.80 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.90 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.65 | 3.08 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.73 | 3.06 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 3.37 | 2.73 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .