Dordrecht
vs
Emmen
0 – 3 Full time
Dordrecht vs Emmen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dordrecht vs Emmen
| Probability | Dordrecht | Draw | Emmen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.9% | 21.9% | 48.1% |
| Market | 32.5% | 24.4% | 43.1% |
| Final | 31.9% | 23.8% | 44.3% |
| Edge | -2.6% | -2.5% | +5.1% |
Why Emmen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.72.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Emmen below the model: +5.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Dordrecht and Emmen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.92
Dordrecht and Emmen attack and defence ratings
Dordrecht
Emmen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dordrecht vs Emmen: result vs prediction
Dordrecht 0 – 3 Emmen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Dordrecht vs Emmen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Emmen | 44.3% | 2.26 | +5.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dordrecht | 31.9% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Emmen | 44.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.8% |
| No | 26.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Emmen win | 29.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.1% | |
| Loss | 51.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.3% | |
| 2-2 | 7.1% |
Dordrecht vs Emmen stats
Dordrecht and Emmen recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dordrecht and Emmen going into this match
Dordrecht record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Emmen record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dordrecht vs Emmen head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Dordrecht | Emmen | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Emmen | Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie | 2-0 |
| 2025-02-28 | Dordrecht | Emmen | Eerste Divisie | 3-0 |
| 2024-08-09 | Emmen | Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie | 1-2 |
| 2024-05-18 | Dordrecht | Emmen | Eredivisie | 0-1 |
| 2024-05-14 | Emmen | Dordrecht | Eredivisie | 2-2 |
| 2023-12-23 | Dordrecht | Emmen | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2023-09-01 | Emmen | Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie | 2-4 |
| 2022-12-23 | Emmen | Dordrecht | Friendlies Clubs | 4-0 |
| 2022-04-15 | Dordrecht | Emmen | Eerste Divisie | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dordrecht vs Emmen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.5%, draw 24.4%, away 43.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.86 | 3.78 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.75 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.80 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 2.90 | 3.80 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.90 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 2.90 | 3.90 | 2.23 |
| Marathonbet | 2.84 | 3.78 | 2.13 |
| Pinnacle | 2.92 | 3.97 | 2.19 |
| SBO | 2.69 | 3.50 | 2.11 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.75 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .