FC OSS vs Helmond Sport Prediction — 9 Oct 2026

FC OSS vs Helmond Sport overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC OSS vs Helmond Sport

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	FC OSS	Draw	Helmond Sport
Model	52.1%	24.5%	23.4%
Market	43.2%	25.8%	31.0%
Final	45.4%	25.5%	29.1%
Edge	+8.9%	-1.4%	-7.6%

Confidence: Low

Why FC OSS

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.22.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
The market prices FC OSS below the model: +8.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

95%

2+ goals

83%

3+ goals

60%

No goals

5%

FC OSS and Helmond Sport expected goals

FC OSS

1.89

Helmond Sport

1.22

Total expected goals: 3.11

FC OSS and Helmond Sport attack and defence ratings

FC OSS

Attack

1.06 +6%

Defence

0.89 -11%

Helmond Sport

Attack

0.93 -7%

Defence

0.99 -1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC OSS vs Helmond Sport: result vs prediction

FC OSS 3 – 1 Helmond Sport

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht · 2026-10-09
NAC Breda v MVV — match page · 2026-10-09
Heracles vs Waalwijk — team news & stats · 2026-10-09
Dordrecht vs Emmen · 2026-10-09
Roda v Jong PSV U21 — match page · 2026-10-09
FC Volendam vs Vitesse — team news & stats · 2026-10-09
Jong AZ vs Den Bosch · 2026-10-09
Almere City FC v FC Eindhoven — match page · 2026-10-09

Before and after this match

FC OSS, previous: FC OSS – MVV, 2026-10-03
FC OSS, next: Den Bosch v FC OSS analysis
Helmond Sport, previous: Helmond Sport vs Heracles: odds and pick
Helmond Sport, next: Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda prediction

FC OSS vs Helmond Sport markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	FC OSS	45.4%	2.20	+8.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	60.1%	1.66	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	60.9%	1.64	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.5%	1.34	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	47.9%	2.09	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	FC OSS	45.4%
	Draw	25.5%
	Helmond Sport	29.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	60.1%
	Under 2.5	39.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	60.9%
	No	39.1%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	70.9%
	12 (either side)	74.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	54.6%
Handicap -1	FC OSS win	30.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.7%
	Loss	47.9%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.3%
	2-1	9.7%
	2-0	8.0%

FC OSS vs Helmond Sport stats

FC OSS and Helmond Sport recent form

newest first

FC OSS	WLWLLW
Helmond Sport	DLLWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC OSS and Helmond Sport going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC OSS record

They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Helmond Sport record

They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC OSS vs Helmond Sport head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3FC OSS wins 5Draws 2Helmond Sport wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-03-06	Helmond Sport	FC OSS	Eerste Divisie	1-1
2025-10-31	FC OSS	Helmond Sport	Eerste Divisie	0-3
2025-02-02	FC OSS	Helmond Sport	Eerste Divisie	1-1
2024-09-16	Helmond Sport	FC OSS	Eerste Divisie	1-0
2024-03-15	FC OSS	Helmond Sport	Eerste Divisie	1-0
2023-09-15	Helmond Sport	FC OSS	Eerste Divisie	1-1
2023-03-31	FC OSS	Helmond Sport	Eerste Divisie	2-2
2022-09-30	Helmond Sport	FC OSS	Eerste Divisie	1-2
2022-01-21	Helmond Sport	FC OSS	Eerste Divisie	1-3
2021-11-12	FC OSS	Helmond Sport	Eerste Divisie	0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC OSS vs Helmond Sport odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 25.8%, away 31.0%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.15	3.50	3.04
Bet365	2.20	3.60	3.00
BetVictor	2.15	3.60	2.90
Betano	2.22	3.60	2.95
Betfair	2.10	3.70	3.00
Dafabet	2.25	3.65	3.00
Marathonbet	2.13	3.50	3.02
Pinnacle	2.19	3.68	3.11
SBO	2.08	3.39	2.82
William Hill	2.15	3.40	2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.05

X 3.60 ▲ +0.18

2 3.00 ▼ -0.03

12 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-04T08:10:02Z.