Eerste Divisie · Full time ·Matchday 10

FC Volendam vs Vitesse

2 – 0 Full time

Kras Stadion, Volendam

FC Volendam 39%
Draw 24%
Vitesse 37%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC Volendam vs Vitesse overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Volendam vs Vitesse

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC VolendamDrawVitesse
Model39.2%24.3%36.5%
Market39.2%23.9%36.8%
Final39.2%24.0%36.7%
Edge-0.1%+0.4%-0.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Volendam ↓ / Vitesse → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

FC Volendam and Vitesse expected goals

FC Volendam 1.76
Vitesse 1.70

Total expected goals: 3.46

FC Volendam and Vitesse attack and defence ratings

FC Volendam

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Vitesse

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Volendam vs Vitesse: result vs prediction

FC Volendam 2 – 0 Vitesse

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

FC Volendam vs Vitesse markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Volendam 39.2% 2.55 -0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.1% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.6% 1.46 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.0% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.8% 1.64 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Volendam39.2%
Draw24.0%
Vitesse36.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.1%
Under 2.532.9%
Both teams to scoreYes68.6%
No31.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.3%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)60.8%
Handicap -1FC Volendam win21.0%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss60.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
2-18.3%
1-28.0%

FC Volendam vs Vitesse stats

FC Volendam and Vitesse recent form

newest first
FC Volendam LWLWLW
Vitesse DLWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Volendam and Vitesse going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Volendam record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 3.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.

Vitesse record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Volendam vs Vitesse head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

3FC Volendam wins 2Draws 2Vitesse wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-01-17FC VolendamVitesseEerste Divisie4-0
2024-10-04VitesseFC VolendamEerste Divisie1-2
2024-02-18VitesseFC VolendamEredivisie1-1
2023-08-11FC VolendamVitesseEredivisie1-2
2023-02-18FC VolendamVitesseEredivisie2-0
2022-09-17VitesseFC VolendamEredivisie1-1
2020-07-26FC VolendamVitesseFriendlies Clubs0-5

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Volendam vs Vitesse odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.2%, draw 23.9%, away 36.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.33 3.86 2.51
Bet365 2.40 3.75 2.60
BetVictor 2.30 3.90 2.50
Betano 2.40 3.75 2.60
Betfair 2.40 4.00 2.45
Dafabet 2.43 3.95 2.60
Marathonbet 2.33 3.86 2.51
Pinnacle 2.38 4.15 2.56
SBO 2.27 3.55 2.46
William Hill 2.30 3.80 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.35 ▲ +0.15
X 3.86 ▲ +0.16
2 2.51 ▼ -0.37

12 snapshots recorded, from .