Eerste Divisie · Full time ·Matchday 11

FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse

0 – 1 Full time

38′Junior Poortvliet
39′Naoufal Bannis
44′Pontus Dahbo
53′valon zumberi
55′Clint Essers
58′Youssef OuallilAlexander Büttner
58′Filipe de Carvalho FerreiraMathijs Marschalk
58′Pontus DahboKoen Te Veluwe
61′Junior PoortvlietLuc Netten
61′Vicente BesuijenHugo Deenen
73′Luc Netten
75′Xiamaro thenuLuuk Wouters
80′Guus BeaumontNiek Munsters
82′Owen Renfrum
82′Naoufal Bannis
84′Naoufal BannisEduard·Probst
87′Clint EssersLasse Abildgaard
87′Xander BlommeLennon Smulders

Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven

FC Eindhoven 30%
Draw 25%
Vitesse 45%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
56 Possession % 44
2 Corners 5
19 Fouls 20
2 Offsides 5
1 Saves 3
344 Accurate passes 219

FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC EindhovenDrawVitesse
Model30.0%24.6%45.4%
Market30.0%24.8%45.2%
Final30.0%24.7%45.3%
Edge+0.0%-0.0%+0.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Vitesse

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.47.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Eindhoven ↓ / Vitesse → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 11% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

FC Eindhoven and Vitesse expected goals

FC Eindhoven 1.47
Vitesse 1.83

Total expected goals: 3.30

FC Eindhoven and Vitesse attack and defence ratings

FC Eindhoven

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Vitesse

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse: result vs prediction

FC Eindhoven 0 – 1 Vitesse

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vitesse 45.3% 2.21 +0.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.0% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.6% 1.52 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.3% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.6% 1.83 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Eindhoven30.0%
Draw24.7%
Vitesse45.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.0%
Under 2.536.0%
Both teams to scoreYes65.6%
No34.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.7%
12 (either side)75.3%
X2 (draw or away)70.0%
Handicap -1Vitesse win25.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss54.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.9%
1-29.1%
2-17.3%

FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse stats

FC Eindhoven and Vitesse recent form

newest first
FC Eindhoven LDLWWD
Vitesse LDLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Eindhoven and Vitesse going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Eindhoven record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Vitesse record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0FC Eindhoven wins 3Draws 1Vitesse wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-02VitesseFC EindhovenEerste Divisie1-1
2025-10-17FC EindhovenVitesseEerste Divisie0-4
2025-03-07FC EindhovenVitesseEerste Divisie3-3
2024-08-30VitesseFC EindhovenEerste Divisie1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.4%, draw 24.6%, away 46.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.08 3.74 2.05
Bet365 3.20 3.80 2.05
BetVictor 3.10 3.75 2.00
Betano 3.50 3.90 1.90
Betfair 3.40 3.90 1.90
Dafabet 3.50 3.90 1.97
Marathonbet 3.06 3.74 2.03
Pinnacle 3.18 3.93 2.07
SBO 3.13 3.41 1.94
William Hill 3.00 3.60 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.09 ▼ -0.31
X 3.75 ▼ -0.05
2 2.05 ▲ +0.13

14 snapshots recorded, from .