FC Eindhoven
vs
Vitesse
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vitesse
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse
| Probability | FC Eindhoven | Draw | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.7% | 24.0% | 46.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.7% | 24.0% | 46.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Vitesse
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.47.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Eindhoven and Vitesse expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
FC Eindhoven and Vitesse attack and defence ratings
FC Eindhoven
Vitesse
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitesse | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Eindhoven | 29.7% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Vitesse | 46.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.3% |
| No | 32.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vitesse win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 54.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 7.1% |
FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse stats
FC Eindhoven and Vitesse recent form
| FC Eindhoven |
LDLWWD |
| Vitesse |
LDLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Eindhoven and Vitesse season so far
FC Eindhoven record
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
Vitesse record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Vitesse | FC Eindhoven | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-17 | FC Eindhoven | Vitesse | Eerste Divisie | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.