Eerste Divisie Β· Β·Matchday 12

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21

Garuda Lions Prediction: Jong PSV U21

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven

FC Eindhoven 34%
Draw 27%
Jong PSV U21 39%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Jong PSV U21 wins
39%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
60%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC EindhovenDrawJong PSV U21
Model34.3%26.8%38.9%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final34.3%26.8%38.9%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 match preview

In the upcoming Eerste Divisie match, FC Eindhoven faces Jong PSV U21 with probabilities indicating a competitive encounter. FC Eindhoven has a 34% chance of winning, while Jong PSV U21 has a 39% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring with a 9% likelihood. Both teams are expected to score, with a 60% probability, and there is a 56% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.

Recent form shows FC Eindhoven with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Jong PSV U21 has one win and four draws. In their last two head-to-head encounters, FC Eindhoven has secured two wins against Jong PSV U21, who have yet to claim a victory. The expected goals for FC Eindhoven is 1.42, compared to Jong PSV U21's 1.52.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Eindhoven ↓ / Jong PSV U21 β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 1 6% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

FC Eindhoven and Jong PSV U21 expected goals

FC Eindhoven 1.42
Jong PSV U21 1.52

Total expected goals: 2.94

FC Eindhoven and Jong PSV U21 attack and defence ratings

FC Eindhoven

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Jong PSV U21

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Jong PSV U21 38.9% 2.57 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.2% 1.78 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 60.3% 1.66 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.2% 1.37 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 61.1% 1.64 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Eindhoven34.3%
Draw26.8%
Jong PSV U2138.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.2%
Under 2.543.8%
Both teams to scoreYes60.3%
No39.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.1%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)65.7%
Handicap -1Jong PSV U21 win19.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss61.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
1-28.7%
2-18.1%

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 stats

FC Eindhoven and Jong PSV U21 recent form

newest first
FC Eindhoven LLDLWW
Jong PSV U21 DLDLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Eindhoven and Jong PSV U21 season so far

league record

FC Eindhoven record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Jong PSV U21 record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2FC Eindhoven wins 0Draws 0Jong PSV U21 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-13Jong PSV U21FC EindhovenEerste Divisie1-2
2025-12-05FC EindhovenJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Jong PSV U21 Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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