KNVB Beker · 2026-10-27T19:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Round of 64

FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam

5 – 3 Full time

8′			M. Amevor
27′			S. Baartmans
32′			V. Besuijen
37′			R. Niemeijer
40′			R. Niemeijer
46′			M. AmevorJ. Haakmat
46′			V. BesuijenT. Simons
55′			R. Buifrahi
63′			D. BisschopsP. Ugwu
63′			K. WolffN. Doodeman
64′			S. Baartmans
67′			M. Belfqih
72′			L. NettenC. Essers
74′			N. BukalaY. el Meftahi
74′			M. BelfqihD. Huisman
78′			J. Haakmat
79′			N. MunstersX. Blomme
79′			H. DeenenA. Bazdaric
87′			R. BuifrahiR. Boon
89′			R. Boon

Jan Louwers Stadion, EindhovenReferee: L. Gerrets

FC Eindhoven

31%

Draw

25%

FC Volendam

44%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

17	Shots	17
11	Shots on target	6
41	Possession %	59
3	Corners	7
7	Fouls	11
0	Offsides	3
3	Saves	7
261	Accurate passes	424

FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	FC Eindhoven	Draw	FC Volendam
Model	16.6%	20.2%	63.2%
Market	36.4%	26.4%	37.1%
Final	31.4%	24.9%	43.7%
Edge	-5.0%	-1.5%	+6.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why FC Volendam

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.36 vs 1.16.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
The market prices FC Volendam below our published probability: +6.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

96%

2+ goals

87%

3+ goals

68%

No goals

FC Eindhoven and FC Volendam expected goals

FC Eindhoven

1.16

FC Volendam

2.36

Total expected goals: 3.53

FC Eindhoven and FC Volendam attack and defence ratings

FC Eindhoven

Attack

0.69 -31%

Defence

1.02 +2%

FC Volendam

Attack

1.15 +15%

Defence

0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam: result vs prediction

FC Eindhoven 5 – 3 FC Volendam

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

KNVB Beker

Excelsior '31 v ADO Den Haag — match page · 2026-10-27
Roda vs De Graafschap — team news & stats · 2026-10-27
Helmond Sport v Willem II — match page · 2026-10-27
Telstar vs Almere City FC · 2026-10-27
Rijnsburgse Boys v Den Bosch — match page · 2026-10-27
Barendrecht v Waalwijk — match page · 2026-10-27
Kloetinge vs Cambuur · 2026-10-27
Koninklijke HFC vs GO Ahead Eagles · 2026-10-27

Before and after this match

FC Eindhoven, previous: FC Eindhoven v Jong PSV U21 analysis
FC Eindhoven, next: Helmond Sport – FC Eindhoven, 2026-10-30
FC Volendam, previous: FC Volendam v Jong Utrecht analysis
FC Volendam, next: FC Volendam vs De Graafschap: odds and pick

FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	FC Volendam	43.7%	2.29	+6.5%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	68.3%	1.46	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	63.0%	1.59	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	75.1%	1.33	—	—
Handicap -1	FC Volendam win	42.0%	2.38	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	FC Eindhoven	31.4%
	Draw	24.9%
	FC Volendam	43.7%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	68.3%
	Under 2.5	31.7%
Both teams to score	Yes	63.0%
	No	37.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	56.3%
	12 (either side)	75.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	68.6%
Handicap -1	FC Volendam win	42.0%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.2%
	Loss	36.8%
Correct score (top 3)	1-2	9.6%
	1-1	8.9%
	0-2	8.2%

FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam stats

FC Eindhoven and FC Volendam recent form

newest first

FC Eindhoven	LLLDLW
FC Volendam	WDWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

1FC Eindhoven wins 4Draws 4FC Volendam wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2025-01-10	FC Eindhoven	FC Volendam	Eerste Divisie	1-3
2024-10-25	FC Volendam	FC Eindhoven	Eerste Divisie	4-1
2022-05-06	FC Volendam	FC Eindhoven	Eerste Divisie	2-2
2021-08-06	FC Eindhoven	FC Volendam	Eerste Divisie	2-2
2021-02-27	FC Eindhoven	FC Volendam	Eerste Divisie	1-1
2020-11-01	FC Volendam	FC Eindhoven	Eerste Divisie	2-0
2019-12-06	FC Eindhoven	FC Volendam	Eerste Divisie	1-4
2019-01-18	FC Volendam	FC Eindhoven	Eerste Divisie	1-3
2018-10-19	FC Eindhoven	FC Volendam	Eerste Divisie	1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Eindhoven vs FC Volendam odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.4%, draw 26.4%, away 37.1%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.58	3.44	2.45
Bet365	2.50	3.70	2.50
BetVictor	2.50	3.50	2.45
Betano	2.52	3.55	2.55
Betfair	2.45	3.60	2.40
Dafabet	2.60	3.70	2.55
Marathonbet	2.58	3.44	2.45
Pinnacle	2.52	3.41	2.49
SBO	2.54	3.26	2.22
William Hill	2.50	3.30	2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.52 ▼ -0.33

X 3.47 ▲ +0.02

2 2.47 ▲ +0.22

2 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-27T08:10:01Z.