Barendrecht
vs
Waalwijk
2 – 2 Full time
| 43′ | Y. van der Veen | ||
| 43′ | F. Hooreman | ||
| 43′ | R. Ouali | ||
| 46′ | F. StokkersR. Fage | ||
| 60′ | B. Vugts | ||
| 65′ | Y. van der VeenH. van Gemert | ||
| 65′ | A. DkidakK. Varela | ||
| 66′ | F. HooremanE. Fortes | ||
| 66′ | R. OualiM. Bakour | ||
| 67′ | R. Fage | ||
| 73′ | R. van HedelL. Postma | ||
| 76′ | L. Postma | ||
| 78′ | T. BayramC. Schop | ||
| 82′ | A. Serghini | ||
| 84′ | C. Schop | ||
| 86′ | T. de Graaf | ||
| 86′ | J. NapJ. Familia-Castillo | ||
| 91′ | R. FageR. Kuijpers | ||
| 91′ | K. RookJ. Kieboom | ||
| 97′ | J. van de Haar | ||
| 98′ | B. VugtsO. Stewart | ||
| 102′ | J. van de Haar | ||
| 109′ | Meer Bradley | ||
| 110′ | A. SerghiniV. Knol | ||
| 115′ | T. de Graaf | ||
| 120′ | R. Kuijpers | ||
| 120′ | H. van Gemert | ||
| 120′ | L. van Gelderen | ||
| 120′ | Meer Bradley | ||
| 120′ | L. Postma |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 20 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 10 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 430 | Accurate passes | 399 |
Barendrecht vs Waalwijk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Barendrecht vs Waalwijk
| Probability | Barendrecht | Draw | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.4% | 29.4% | 33.2% |
| Market | 12.3% | 18.6% | 69.2% |
| Final | 18.6% | 21.3% | 60.2% |
| Edge | +6.3% | +2.7% | -9.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Barendrecht and Waalwijk expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Barendrecht and Waalwijk attack and defence ratings
Barendrecht
Waalwijk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Barendrecht vs Waalwijk: result vs prediction
Barendrecht 2 – 2 Waalwijk
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Barendrecht vs Waalwijk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waalwijk | 60.2% | 1.66 | -9.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barendrecht | 18.6% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| Waalwijk | 60.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% |
| No | 47.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 81.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Waalwijk win | 14.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 66.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-0 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 9.2% |
Barendrecht vs Waalwijk stats
Barendrecht and Waalwijk recent form
| Barendrecht |
WDW |
| Waalwijk |
DDLDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
Barendrecht vs Waalwijk head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Barendrecht vs Waalwijk odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.3%, draw 18.6%, away 69.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.95 | 4.95 | 1.33 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.36 |
| BetVictor | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| Betano | 6.80 | 4.90 | 1.35 |
| Betfair | 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.29 |
| Dafabet | 7.40 | 5.40 | 1.37 |
| Marathonbet | 7.90 | 4.95 | 1.32 |
| Pinnacle | 6.12 | 4.53 | 1.30 |
| William Hill | 7.50 | 4.60 | 1.36 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .