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KNVB Beker · Full time ·Round of 64

Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag

1 – 1 Full time

14′A. PozoD. van Mieghem
45′M. Schrijver
46′F. de BruinJ. Bal
51′S. ter Haar
57′N. Thomas
65′J. ZamburekJ. Kilo
65′M. HokkeM. Waem
70′S. SeppenwooldeT. Koelman
73′N. ThomasY. Eduardo
76′K. WesselinkP. Maneschijn
76′V. SchmidtS. Lbenay
86′M. de WildeS. Beverdam
91′N. LeemhuisW. Hofste
91′M. JimenezE. Rottier
91′S. HolsinkC. Scholten
93′M. Schrijver
94′J. Kilo
105′D. van Mieghem
120′C. Scholten
120′J. Bal
120′S. Lbenay
120′E. Rottier
120′S. ter Haar
120′Y. Eduardo
120′P. Maneschijn
120′C. Peupion
120′W. Hofste
120′M. Waem
120′T. Koelman

Sportpark De Koerbelt, RijssenReferee: C. Ruperti

Excelsior '31 18%
Draw 15%
ADO Den Haag 67%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityExcelsior '31DrawADO Den Haag
Model49.5%21.5%29.1%
Market7.0%12.9%80.1%
Final17.6%15.0%67.4%
Edge+10.6%+2.2%-12.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Excelsior '31 ↓ / ADO Den Haag → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 6% 2 5% 8% 7% 4% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 76%
No goals 3%

Excelsior '31 and ADO Den Haag expected goals

Excelsior '31 2.27
ADO Den Haag 1.74

Total expected goals: 4.01

Excelsior '31 and ADO Den Haag attack and defence ratings

Excelsior '31

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.95 -5%

ADO Den Haag

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag: result vs prediction

Excelsior '31 1 – 1 ADO Den Haag

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ADO Den Haag 67.4% 1.48 -12.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.4% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score Yes 74.7% 1.34 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 85.0% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.9% 1.41 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Excelsior '3117.6%
Draw15.0%
ADO Den Haag67.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.4%
Under 2.523.6%
Both teams to scoreYes74.7%
No25.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)32.6%
12 (either side)85.0%
X2 (draw or away)82.4%
Handicap -1ADO Den Haag win14.7%
Push (exactly one goal)14.4%
Loss70.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.1%
1-17.9%
2-27.1%

Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag stats

Excelsior '31 and ADO Den Haag recent form

newest first
Excelsior '31 WWLW
ADO Den Haag LWDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.

Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Excelsior '31 wins 0Draws 1ADO Den Haag wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-10-18Excelsior '31ADO Den HaagKNVB Beker2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Excelsior '31 vs ADO Den Haag odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 7.0%, draw 12.9%, away 80.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 14.70 7.10 1.14
Bet365 13.00 7.50 1.14
BetVictor 13.00 7.50 1.13
Betano 10.25 6.40 1.17
Betfair 13.00 7.50 1.11
Dafabet 14.00 8.00 1.17
Marathonbet 14.75 7.10 1.14
Pinnacle 10.26 6.97 1.13
William Hill 15.00 6.50 1.17

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 13.00 ▼ -1.00
X 7.10 —
2 1.14 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .