KNVB Beker · Full time ·Round of 64

Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch

3 – 5 Full time

14′K. Lever
43′J. de Vries
59′J. Buitenweg
64′L. Hoffman
70′Y. TufiB. de Bruin
71′B. WangR. Wolters
71′L. HoffmanI. Boumassaoudi
77′R. Wolters
78′C. Van Bohemen
81′K. LeverS. Bastmeijer
83′J. Fortes
86′S. Bastmeijer
86′C. Van BohemenM. van Kempen
86′C. TureaijJ. Simoes
88′E. SemedoS. van Daalen
88′J. de VriesG. Sille
88′M. van Kempen
90′B. Ros
90′D. De Corte

Sportpark Middelmors, RijnsburgReferee: W. Wiersma

Rijnsburgse Boys 27%
Draw 23%
Den Bosch 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 11
49 Possession % 51
4 Corners 6
20 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 3
5 Saves 1
265 Accurate passes 298

Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRijnsburgse BoysDrawDen Bosch
Model38.9%24.3%36.8%
Market23.6%22.2%54.2%
Final27.4%22.7%49.8%
Edge+3.8%+0.5%-4.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Den Bosch

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rijnsburgse Bo ↓ / Den Bosch → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Rijnsburgse Boys and Den Bosch expected goals

Rijnsburgse Boys 1.75
Den Bosch 1.70

Total expected goals: 3.45

Rijnsburgse Boys and Den Bosch attack and defence ratings

Rijnsburgse Boys

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Den Bosch

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch: result vs prediction

Rijnsburgse Boys 3 – 5 Den Bosch

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

KNVB Beker

Before and after this match

Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Den Bosch 49.8% 2.01 -4.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.0% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.5% 1.46 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.3% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.2% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rijnsburgse Boys27.4%
Draw22.7%
Den Bosch49.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.0%
Under 2.533.0%
Both teams to scoreYes68.5%
No31.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.2%
12 (either side)77.3%
X2 (draw or away)72.6%
Handicap -1Den Bosch win19.2%
Push (exactly one goal)17.6%
Loss63.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
2-18.3%
1-28.0%

Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch stats

Rijnsburgse Boys and Den Bosch recent form

newest first
Rijnsburgse Boys L
Den Bosch DWWDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Rijnsburgse Boys vs Den Bosch odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.6%, draw 22.2%, away 54.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.94 4.15 1.71
Bet365 3.75 4.20 1.80
BetVictor 4.00 4.10 1.67
Betano 3.80 4.25 1.70
Betfair 3.75 4.00 1.70
Dafabet 3.90 4.30 1.78
Marathonbet 3.94 4.15 1.69
Pinnacle 3.63 4.05 1.58
William Hill 3.90 3.90 1.73

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.90 ▲ +0.40
X 4.15 ▲ +0.20
2 1.70 ▼ -0.14

2 snapshots recorded, from .