Vitesse
vs
Emmen
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vitesse
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Vitesse vs Emmen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vitesse vs Emmen
| Probability | Vitesse | Draw | Emmen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.3% | 25.7% | 31.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.3% | 25.7% | 31.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Vitesse vs Emmen match preview
Vitesse faces Emmen in the Eerste Divisie with probabilities indicating a 43% chance of a Vitesse victory, a 31% chance for Emmen, and a 26% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. The expected goals for Vitesse stand at 1.70, while Emmen is projected to score 1.41.
In terms of recent form, Vitesse has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five matches. Emmen, on the other hand, has shown slightly better consistency, winning three of their last five games. The model also indicates a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vitesse and Emmen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.11
Vitesse and Emmen attack and defence ratings
Vitesse
Emmen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vitesse vs Emmen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitesse | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.7% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitesse | 43.3% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Emmen | 31.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% |
| No | 37.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vitesse win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.0% | |
| Loss | 56.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
Vitesse vs Emmen stats
Vitesse and Emmen recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vitesse and Emmen season so far
Vitesse record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Emmen record
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vitesse vs Emmen head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Vitesse | Emmen | Eerste Divisie | 3-3 |
| 2025-09-30 | Emmen | Vitesse | Eerste Divisie | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.