Helmond Sport
vs
NAC Breda
0 – 2 Full time
| 39′ | Charles-Andreas Brym | ||
| 55′ | Moussa Soumano | ||
| 58′ | Dean·HuibertsMauro Lenaerts | ||
| 59′ | Flor Van Den EyndenLovro Golic | ||
| 59′ | Kiton EkoliJoep van der Sluijs | ||
| 64′ | Michel Simon Ludwig | ||
| 66′ | Boyd Lucassen | ||
| 70′ | Thomas PollTijn Landheer | ||
| 75′ | Livio CiceroLabinot Bajrami | ||
| 75′ | Rio·Hillen | ||
| 82′ | Moussa SoumanoPaul Gladon | ||
| 82′ | Maximilien BalardKarim Mperanyi | ||
| 89′ | Mohamed NassohImran Nazih | ||
| 89′ | Charles-Andreas BrymBrahim Ghalidi | ||
| 89′ | Jan Van den BerghMylan Brouwers |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 320 | Accurate passes | 426 |
Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda
| Probability | Helmond Sport | Draw | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.0% | 24.0% | 39.0% |
| Market | 18.7% | 20.7% | 60.6% |
| Final | 23.2% | 21.5% | 55.2% |
| Edge | +4.6% | +0.8% | -5.4% |
Why NAC Breda
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Helmond Sport and NAC Breda expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.53
Helmond Sport and NAC Breda attack and defence ratings
Helmond Sport
NAC Breda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda: result vs prediction
Helmond Sport 0 – 2 NAC Breda
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NAC Breda | 55.2% | 1.81 | -5.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Helmond Sport | 23.2% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| NAC Breda | 55.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.6% |
| No | 30.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 44.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | NAC Breda win | 21.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 61.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.2% | |
| 2-1 | 7.9% |
Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda stats
Helmond Sport and NAC Breda recent form
| Helmond Sport |
LDLLWW |
| NAC Breda |
WDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Helmond Sport and NAC Breda going into this match
Helmond Sport record
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
NAC Breda record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-26 | Helmond Sport | NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-27 | NAC Breda | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2023-01-13 | Helmond Sport | NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
| 2022-08-05 | NAC Breda | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2022-03-18 | Helmond Sport | NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie | 4-0 |
| 2021-11-27 | NAC Breda | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2021-03-12 | NAC Breda | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 3-2 |
| 2020-09-06 | Helmond Sport | NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie | 0-2 |
| 2020-01-10 | Helmond Sport | NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie | 0-0 |
| 2019-08-16 | NAC Breda | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.4%, draw 20.6%, away 61.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.11 | 4.50 | 1.51 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.57 |
| BetVictor | 5.00 | 4.40 | 1.53 |
| Betano | 5.20 | 4.65 | 1.50 |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.75 | 1.47 |
| Dafabet | 5.40 | 4.80 | 1.53 |
| Marathonbet | 5.05 | 4.50 | 1.50 |
| Pinnacle | 4.98 | 4.62 | 1.56 |
| SBO | 4.84 | 4.21 | 1.46 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 4.33 | 1.55 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .