Roda
vs
Waalwijk
2 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | Bram Marsman | ||
| 56′ | Joey SleegersCain Seedorf | ||
| 56′ | Jerome DeomX. van den Berg | ||
| 61′ | Loek Postma | ||
| 62′ | Finn StokkersJesse van de Haar | ||
| 62′ | Loek PostmaTim van de Loo | ||
| 62′ | Ryan FageVirgil Misidjan | ||
| 73′ | Cain Seedorf | ||
| 75′ | Navajo Bakboord | ||
| 77′ | Bram MarsmanMitchel Paulissen | ||
| 77′ | Anthony van den HurkFynn Schenten | ||
| 79′ | Navajo BakboordR. van Hedel | ||
| 80′ | Yoram van der VeenAzzedine Dkidak | ||
| 90′ | Joshua NisbetNoah Crabu |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 6 | Saves | 1 |
| 332 | Accurate passes | 471 |
Roda vs Waalwijk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Roda vs Waalwijk
| Probability | Roda | Draw | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.0% | 30.2% | 38.9% |
| Market | 40.8% | 26.4% | 32.8% |
| Final | 38.4% | 27.3% | 34.3% |
| Edge | -9.8% | +3.8% | +6.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Roda and Waalwijk expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Roda and Waalwijk attack and defence ratings
Roda
Waalwijk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Roda vs Waalwijk: result vs prediction
Roda 2 – 0 Waalwijk
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Roda vs Waalwijk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roda | 38.4% | 2.61 | -9.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roda | 38.4% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Waalwijk | 34.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.9% |
| No | 50.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roda win | 12.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 68.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.4% | |
| 0-1 | 10.3% |
Roda vs Waalwijk stats
Roda and Waalwijk recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Roda and Waalwijk going into this match
Roda record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Waalwijk record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.5 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Roda vs Waalwijk head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Waalwijk | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Roda | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Waalwijk | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-19 | Roda | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 1-4 |
| 2021-07-23 | Roda | Waalwijk | Friendlies Clubs | 2-4 |
| 2019-04-05 | Roda | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 0-0 |
| 2018-09-14 | Waalwijk | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 0-1 |
| 2014-03-30 | Roda | Waalwijk | Eredivisie | 0-1 |
| 2013-10-19 | Waalwijk | Roda | Eredivisie | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Roda vs Waalwijk odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.8%, draw 26.4%, away 32.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.28 | 3.48 | 2.83 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.26 | 3.48 | 2.81 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 3.62 | 2.94 |
| SBO | 2.21 | 3.25 | 2.71 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .