Eerste Divisie · 2026-08-31T18:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 8

Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht

2 – 1 Full time

1′			E. C. Owen
13′			Jeremiah Esajas
16′			Viggo Plantinga
22′			A. Oufkir
34′			Jamie Schuldes
46′			J. EsajasM. Menu
46′			T. de Wit
56′			D. LaaouinaJ. Sneijder
56′			P. KloosterboerR. Omorowa
73′			R. RobbemondJ. Sijbrands
73′			Y. van den BanJ. Bergraaf
75′			E. C. OwenJ. Hunte
79′			H. de WitB. Budko
86′			A. OufkirK. Toppenberg
87′			M. GhaddariK. Goes
87′			F. PohlN. Gyamfi-Amoah
90′			Nana Gyamfi-Amoah

AFAS Trainingscomplex, WijdewormerReferee: Andy Wolff, Netherlands

Jong AZ

56%

Draw

22%

Jong Utrecht

22%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

26	Shots	12
6	Shots on target	5
59	Possession %	41
7	Corners	6
14	Fouls	12
0	Offsides	1
4	Saves	4
447	Accurate passes	268

Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Jong AZ	Draw	Jong Utrecht
Model	48.7%	24.0%	27.3%
Market	58.5%	21.1%	20.4%
Final	56.0%	21.8%	22.1%
Edge	-9.7%	+2.9%	+6.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Jong AZ

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.42.
Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

96%

2+ goals

86%

3+ goals

65%

No goals

Jong AZ and Jong Utrecht expected goals

Jong AZ

1.93

Jong Utrecht

1.42

Total expected goals: 3.35

Jong AZ and Jong Utrecht attack and defence ratings

Jong AZ

Attack

0.91 -9%

Defence

1.20 +20%

Jong Utrecht

Attack

0.79 -21%

Defence

1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht: result vs prediction

Jong AZ 2 – 1 Jong Utrecht

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Jong PSV U21 v Jong Ajax — match page · 2026-08-31
Dordrecht vs Almere City FC — team news & stats · 2026-09-25
Heracles vs Vitesse · 2026-09-26
NAC Breda v FC Eindhoven — match page · 2026-09-26
Emmen vs FC OSS — team news & stats · 2026-09-26
MVV vs Helmond Sport · 2026-09-26
Roda v Waalwijk — match page · 2026-09-26
FC Volendam vs VVV Venlo — team news & stats · 2026-09-26

Before and after this match

Jong AZ, previous: Jong AZ v MVV analysis
Jong AZ, next: Dordrecht – Jong AZ, 2026-09-05
Jong Utrecht, previous: FC OSS vs Jong Utrecht prediction
Jong Utrecht, next: Jong Utrecht vs FC Eindhoven prediction

Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Jong AZ	56.0%	1.78	-9.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	65.1%	1.54	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	65.8%	1.52	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	78.2%	1.28	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	51.3%	1.95	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Jong AZ	56.0%
	Draw	21.8%
	Jong Utrecht	22.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	65.1%
	Under 2.5	34.9%
Both teams to score	Yes	65.8%
	No	34.2%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	77.9%
	12 (either side)	78.2%
	X2 (draw or away)	44.0%
Handicap -1	Jong AZ win	28.3%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.5%
	Loss	51.3%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	10.6%
	2-1	9.3%
	1-2	6.8%

Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht stats

Jong AZ and Jong Utrecht recent form

newest first

Jong AZ	LLWLWL
Jong Utrecht	LLLLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Jong AZ and Jong Utrecht going into this match

league record before kick-off

Jong AZ record

They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
They average 4.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

Jong Utrecht record

They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Jong AZ wins 1Draws 2Jong Utrecht wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2025-12-12	Jong AZ	Jong Utrecht	Eerste Divisie	1-4
2025-09-30	Jong Utrecht	Jong AZ	Eerste Divisie	0-0
2025-03-07	Jong AZ	Jong Utrecht	Eerste Divisie	5-1
2024-10-22	Jong Utrecht	Jong AZ	Eerste Divisie	0-1
2024-02-12	Jong Utrecht	Jong AZ	Eerste Divisie	1-2
2023-08-14	Jong AZ	Jong Utrecht	Eerste Divisie	1-0
2023-04-17	Jong AZ	Jong Utrecht	Eerste Divisie	4-0
2023-01-09	Jong Utrecht	Jong AZ	Eerste Divisie	0-2
2022-03-18	Jong Utrecht	Jong AZ	Eerste Divisie	0-1
2021-09-10	Jong AZ	Jong Utrecht	Eerste Divisie	0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Jong AZ vs Jong Utrecht odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 58.5%, draw 21.1%, away 20.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	1.57	4.50	4.80
1xBet	1.59	4.50	4.50
Bet365	1.60	4.33	4.75
BetVictor	1.57	4.40	4.50
Betano	1.60	4.35	4.65
Betfair	1.57	4.50	4.75
Dafabet	1.63	4.60	4.60
Marathonbet	1.57	4.50	4.55
Pinnacle	1.62	4.61	4.54
SBO	1.56	4.12	4.11
Superbet	1.61	4.40	4.40
Unibet	1.48	4.40	4.90
William Hill	1.62	4.20	4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.59 ▲ +0.02

X 4.40 —

2 4.55 ▼ -0.05

3 snapshots recorded, from 2026-08-30T20:10:18Z.