Eerste Divisie · 2026-09-05T14:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 5

Dordrecht vs Jong AZ

3 – 6 Full time

2′			Mathijs Menu
8′			B. Kovacs
24′			Adil Lechkar
25′			A. Natali
28′			Ayoub Ouarghi
33′			M. VetkalR. van Asten
34′			B. HardleyN. Rossi
35′			N. Rossi
45′			B. Kovacs
45′			A. Ouarghi
46′			A. LechkarJ. van Aken
46′			K. ToppenbergJ. Bergraaf
57′			Julian Oerip
58′			N. FeliciaL. Roman
60′			B. KovacsY. van den Ban
69′			A. NataliJ. Esajas
73′			Y. van den Ban
77′			B. MpanzuL. Riccio
80′			L. Riccio
81′			T. de WitR. Atikallah
81′			H. de WitK. Inge
81′			J. Bergraaf
84′			Ayoub Ouarghi
84′			Ayoub Ouarghi
90′			R. Robbemond

M-Scores Stadion, DordrechtReferee: T. Hardeman

Dordrecht

40%

Draw

25%

Jong AZ

35%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

14	Shots	22
5	Shots on target	14
53	Possession %	47
2	Corners	6
13	Fouls	12
1	Offsides	1
7	Saves	2
359	Accurate passes	333

Dordrecht vs Jong AZ overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dordrecht vs Jong AZ

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Dordrecht	Draw	Jong AZ
Model	30.3%	24.9%	44.8%
Market	42.7%	24.9%	32.4%
Final	39.6%	24.9%	35.5%
Edge	-12.4%	-0.1%	+12.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

95%

2+ goals

85%

3+ goals

63%

No goals

Dordrecht and Jong AZ expected goals

Dordrecht

1.46

Jong AZ

1.80

Total expected goals: 3.26

Dordrecht and Jong AZ attack and defence ratings

Dordrecht

Attack

0.73 -27%

Defence

1.29 +29%

Jong AZ

Attack

0.93 -7%

Defence

1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dordrecht vs Jong AZ: result vs prediction

Dordrecht 3 – 6 Jong AZ

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Vitesse vs FC OSS · 2026-09-04
Heracles v De Graafschap — match page · 2026-09-04
Emmen vs FC Volendam — team news & stats · 2026-09-04
Waalwijk vs NAC Breda · 2026-09-04
Almere City FC v Jong Ajax — match page · 2026-09-04
Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo — team news & stats · 2026-09-04
MVV v Roda — match page · 2026-09-06
Jong PSV U21 vs Den Bosch — team news & stats · 2026-09-07

Before and after this match

Dordrecht, previous: FC Volendam vs Dordrecht prediction
Dordrecht, next: FC Eindhoven v Dordrecht analysis
Jong AZ, previous: Jong AZ v Jong Utrecht analysis
Jong AZ, next: Heracles vs Jong AZ: odds and pick

Dordrecht vs Jong AZ markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Dordrecht	39.6%	2.53	-12.4%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	63.2%	1.58	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	65.0%	1.54	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	75.1%	1.33	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	69.7%	1.43	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Dordrecht	39.6%
	Draw	24.9%
	Jong AZ	35.5%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	63.2%
	Under 2.5	36.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	65.0%
	No	35.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	64.5%
	12 (either side)	75.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	60.4%
Handicap -1	Dordrecht win	14.3%
	Push (exactly one goal)	16.0%
	Loss	69.7%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.1%
	1-2	9.1%
	2-1	7.4%

Dordrecht vs Jong AZ stats

Dordrecht and Jong AZ recent form

newest first

Dordrecht	LLDWLL
Jong AZ	WLLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dordrecht and Jong AZ going into this match

league record before kick-off

Dordrecht record

They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Jong AZ record

They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
They average 4.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

Dordrecht vs Jong AZ head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Dordrecht wins 3Draws 4Jong AZ wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-02-09	Jong AZ	Dordrecht	Eerste Divisie	1-2
2025-09-15	Dordrecht	Jong AZ	Eerste Divisie	1-1
2025-01-17	Dordrecht	Jong AZ	Eerste Divisie	1-1
2024-08-26	Jong AZ	Dordrecht	Eerste Divisie	3-1
2024-01-22	Jong AZ	Dordrecht	Eerste Divisie	5-1
2023-09-22	Dordrecht	Jong AZ	Eerste Divisie	0-0
2023-04-21	Dordrecht	Jong AZ	Eerste Divisie	1-0
2022-09-05	Jong AZ	Dordrecht	Eerste Divisie	3-1
2022-01-17	Dordrecht	Jong AZ	Eerste Divisie	2-0
2021-10-01	Jong AZ	Dordrecht	Eerste Divisie	2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dordrecht vs Jong AZ odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.4%, draw 24.9%, away 32.7%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.20	3.90	2.75
1xBet	2.19	3.72	2.87
Bet365	2.20	3.75	2.90
BetVictor	2.15	3.80	2.80
Betano	2.22	3.80	2.80
Betfair	2.20	4.00	2.75
Dafabet	2.26	3.85	2.85
Marathonbet	2.17	3.72	2.86
Pinnacle	2.22	3.88	2.92
SBO	2.14	3.45	2.54
Superbet	2.22	3.75	2.82
Unibet	2.06	3.60	2.95
William Hill	2.15	3.60	2.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.18 ▼ -0.02

X 3.74 ▼ -0.01

2 2.88 ▲ +0.11

9 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-01T08:10:01Z.