Eerste Divisie · 2026-09-04T18:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 5

Emmen vs FC Volendam

5 – 3 Full time

35′			Sybrand Veldhuis
41′			Alessandro Hojabrpour
45′			Nordin Bukala
49′			Freddy Quispel
50′			Daan Huisman
59′			Sybrand Veldhuis
62′			Freddy Quispel
66′			Luca BlondeauFrederik Ihler
66′			Nordin BukalaSerigne Abdou Lahat Deme
69′			Sybrand VeldhuisMustafa Abdullatif
70′			Reuven Niemeijer
71′			Y. Dedelhomme
73′			Freddy Quispel
73′			Mike KleijnMawouna Amevor
77′			Henk Veerman
77′			Freddy QuispelRodney Kongolo
77′			Alessandro HojabrpourDaan Lambers
80′			Michael Breij
87′			Serigne Abdou Lahat Deme
89′			Michael BreijLuca Denk
89′			Jack Cooper LoveTorben Rhein

De Oude Meerdijk, EmmenReferee: M. Vos

Emmen

39%

Draw

24%

FC Volendam

37%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

20	Shots	10
10	Shots on target	7
58	Possession %	42
7	Corners	2
11	Fouls	11
1	Offsides	2
4	Saves	5
321	Accurate passes	322

Emmen vs FC Volendam overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Emmen vs FC Volendam

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Emmen	Draw	FC Volendam
Model	32.8%	23.1%	44.0%
Market	40.5%	24.9%	34.5%
Final	38.6%	24.5%	36.9%
Edge	-7.7%	-1.8%	+9.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Emmen

Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

97%

2+ goals

89%

3+ goals

71%

No goals

Emmen and FC Volendam expected goals

Emmen

1.71

FC Volendam

1.99

Total expected goals: 3.69

Emmen and FC Volendam attack and defence ratings

Emmen

Attack

1.11 +11%

Defence

1.24 +24%

FC Volendam

Attack

1.07 +7%

Defence

0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Emmen vs FC Volendam: result vs prediction

Emmen 5 – 3 FC Volendam

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Vitesse vs FC OSS · 2026-09-04
Heracles v De Graafschap — match page · 2026-09-04
Waalwijk vs NAC Breda · 2026-09-04
Almere City FC v Jong Ajax — match page · 2026-09-04
Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo — team news & stats · 2026-09-04
Dordrecht vs Jong AZ · 2026-09-05
MVV v Roda — match page · 2026-09-06
Jong PSV U21 vs Den Bosch — team news & stats · 2026-09-07

Before and after this match

Emmen, previous: VVV Venlo vs Emmen prediction
Emmen, next: Emmen vs De Graafschap prediction
FC Volendam, previous: FC Volendam vs Dordrecht prediction
FC Volendam, next: FC Volendam v Den Bosch analysis

Emmen vs FC Volendam markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Emmen	38.6%	2.59	-7.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	71.3%	1.40	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	71.4%	1.40	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	75.5%	1.32	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	67.2%	1.49	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Emmen	38.6%
	Draw	24.5%
	FC Volendam	36.9%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	71.3%
	Under 2.5	28.7%
Both teams to score	Yes	71.4%
	No	28.6%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	63.1%
	12 (either side)	75.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	61.4%
Handicap -1	Emmen win	16.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	16.0%
	Loss	67.2%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	9.3%
	1-2	8.4%
	2-1	7.2%

Emmen vs FC Volendam stats

Emmen and FC Volendam recent form

newest first

Emmen	LWWWWD
FC Volendam	WLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Emmen and FC Volendam going into this match

league record before kick-off

Emmen record

They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Emmen vs FC Volendam head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Emmen wins 2Draws 3FC Volendam wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2025-02-15	Emmen	FC Volendam	Eerste Divisie	1-2
2024-08-18	FC Volendam	Emmen	Eerste Divisie	0-1
2023-03-04	FC Volendam	Emmen	Eredivisie	3-1
2022-10-14	Emmen	FC Volendam	Eredivisie	1-1
2022-03-14	Emmen	FC Volendam	Eerste Divisie	4-1
2021-11-05	FC Volendam	Emmen	Eerste Divisie	2-2
2021-10-26	FC Volendam	Emmen	KNVB Beker	0-3
2018-04-06	Emmen	FC Volendam	Eerste Divisie	2-3
2017-11-24	FC Volendam	Emmen	Eerste Divisie	2-3
2017-02-03	Emmen	FC Volendam	Eerste Divisie	3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Emmen vs FC Volendam odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.5%, draw 24.9%, away 34.5%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.35	3.80	2.62
1xBet	2.27	3.76	2.72
Bet365	2.38	3.60	2.70
BetVictor	2.25	3.90	2.60
Betano	2.32	3.70	2.72
Betfair	2.20	4.00	2.70
Dafabet	2.38	3.80	2.70
Marathonbet	2.30	3.74	2.65
Pinnacle	2.36	3.87	2.72
SBO	2.27	3.43	2.40
Superbet	2.40	3.70	2.60
Unibet	2.23	3.65	2.63
William Hill	2.25	3.60	2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▼ -0.55

X 3.74 ▲ +0.19

2 2.70 ▲ +0.43

10 snapshots recorded, from 2026-08-31T08:10:02Z.