VVV Venlo
vs
Emmen
4 – 0 Full time
VVV Venlo vs Emmen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: VVV Venlo vs Emmen
| Probability | VVV Venlo | Draw | Emmen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.6% | 22.6% | 32.8% |
| Market | 38.5% | 24.4% | 37.0% |
| Final | 40.0% | 24.0% | 36.0% |
| Edge | +6.0% | -1.8% | -4.2% |
Why VVV Venlo
- The market prices VVV Venlo below the model: +6.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
VVV Venlo and Emmen expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.80
VVV Venlo and Emmen attack and defence ratings
VVV Venlo
Emmen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
VVV Venlo vs Emmen: result vs prediction
VVV Venlo 4 – 0 Emmen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
VVV Venlo vs Emmen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VVV Venlo | 40.0% | 2.50 | +6.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VVV Venlo | 40.0% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Emmen | 36.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.0% |
| No | 27.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | VVV Venlo win | 25.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.2% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
VVV Venlo vs Emmen stats
VVV Venlo and Emmen recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
VVV Venlo and Emmen going into this match
VVV Venlo record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Emmen record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
VVV Venlo vs Emmen head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Emmen | VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
| 2025-10-17 | VVV Venlo | Emmen | Eerste Divisie | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
VVV Venlo vs Emmen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.5%, draw 24.4%, away 37.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.45 | 3.85 | 2.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 3.88 | 2.49 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.70 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.80 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.65 | 2.55 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 4.00 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.49 | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.38 | 3.88 | 2.49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45 | 3.76 | 2.55 |
| SBO | 2.30 | 3.42 | 2.36 |
| Unibet | 2.38 | 3.65 | 2.45 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 3.70 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .