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Eerste Divisie · Full time ·Matchday 5

Jong PSV U21 vs Den Bosch

3 – 1 Full time

8′Wang Bohao
27′Manuel BahatySamuel Dumbili
37′Devon Findell·De Corte
45′Jim KollerBoet Mulders
50′Shuryjano Cornecion
52′Austyn Jones
53′Boet Mulders
58′Ilias BoumassaoudiLorenzo Hoffman
58′Jasper Van HeertumSheddy Barglan
58′Tim Rafi WoltersEmian-Johar Semedo
70′Devon Findell·De Corte
71′Wang BohaoSebastian Karlsson Grach
71′Jack de VriesGenrich Sille
79′Austyn JonesKeziah Oteng-Mensah
79′Fabio KluitDyran Stam
79′Gino VerhulstRivas Manuhutu

De Herdgang, EindhovenReferee: A. Wolff

Jong PSV U21 47%
Draw 24%
Den Bosch 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 17
8 Shots on target 6
54 Possession % 46
5 Corners 10
14 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 4
5 Saves 5
298 Accurate passes 235

Jong PSV U21 vs Den Bosch overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Jong PSV U21 vs Den Bosch

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJong PSV U21DrawDen Bosch
Model46.6%24.5%28.9%
Market47.7%23.6%28.6%
Final47.5%23.8%28.7%
Edge-1.1%+0.8%+0.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Jong PSV U21

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 1.44.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Jong PSV U21 ↓ / Den Bosch → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 11% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Jong PSV U21 and Den Bosch expected goals

Jong PSV U21 1.86
Den Bosch 1.44

Total expected goals: 3.30

Jong PSV U21 and Den Bosch attack and defence ratings

Jong PSV U21

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Den Bosch

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Jong PSV U21 vs Den Bosch: result vs prediction

Jong PSV U21 3 – 1 Den Bosch

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

Jong PSV U21 vs Den Bosch markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Jong PSV U21 47.5% 2.11 -1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.1% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.5% 1.53 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.2% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.4% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Jong PSV U2147.5%
Draw23.8%
Den Bosch28.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.1%
Under 2.535.9%
Both teams to scoreYes65.5%
No34.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.3%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)52.5%
Handicap -1Jong PSV U21 win26.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss53.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.8%
2-19.2%
1-27.1%

Jong PSV U21 vs Den Bosch stats

Jong PSV U21 and Den Bosch recent form

newest first
Jong PSV U21 DDWLWL
Den Bosch LWLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Jong PSV U21 and Den Bosch going into this match

league record before kick-off

Jong PSV U21 record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Jong PSV U21 vs Den Bosch head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Jong PSV U21 wins 3Draws 4Den Bosch wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-16Den BoschJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie1-0
2025-09-22Jong PSV U21Den BoschEerste Divisie3-0
2025-03-31Jong PSV U21Den BoschEerste Divisie2-4
2024-12-13Den BoschJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie1-1
2024-07-13Den BoschJong PSV U21Friendlies Clubs1-0
2024-01-15Jong PSV U21Den BoschEerste Divisie2-2
2023-09-01Den BoschJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie1-2
2023-07-14Jong PSV U21Den BoschFriendlies Clubs0-0
2023-01-20Den BoschJong PSV U21Eerste Divisie1-0
2022-09-12Jong PSV U21Den BoschEerste Divisie3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Jong PSV U21 vs Den Bosch odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.7%, draw 23.6%, away 28.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.90 4.10 3.35
1xBet 1.94 3.94 3.28
Bet365 1.95 3.80 3.40
BetVictor 1.95 4.20 3.00
Betano 1.98 3.95 3.25
Betfair 1.91 4.33 3.10
Dafabet 2.02 4.00 3.25
Marathonbet 1.92 3.94 3.28
Pinnacle 1.97 4.23 3.25
SBO 1.96 3.71 2.87
Superbet 2.00 3.90 3.20
Unibet 1.89 3.85 3.15
William Hill 1.95 3.80 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.95 ▼ -0.01
X 3.94 ▲ +0.02
2 3.25 ▲ +0.09

14 snapshots recorded, from .