Eerste Divisie · 2026-09-11T18:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 6

Helmond Sport vs Jong PSV U21

3 – 1 Full time

10′			Livio Cicero
27′			Kyano Penso
45′			fabian merienMadi Monamay
45′			Ayoni SantosSamuel Dumbili
49′			Sem Dekkers
60′			Thomas PollW. Lantaki
61′			Xander van der VeldePol Llonch
61′			Labinot BajramiMauro Lenaerts
71′			Helgi Fróði IngasonTarik Essakkati
75′			Kyano PensoLyfe Oldenstam
75′			Fabio KluitKeziah Oteng-Mensah
76′			Joep van der Sluijs
77′			Tarik Essakkati
83′			Souleymane SidibeRivas Manuhutu
89′			Shuryjano Cornecion
90′			Michel Simon LudwigLovro Golic
90′			Brian Koglin

GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond

Helmond Sport

35%

Draw

26%

Jong PSV U21

39%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

16	Shots	9
6	Shots on target	3
45	Possession %	55
5	Corners	4
11	Fouls	9
2	Offsides	1
2	Saves	3
364	Accurate passes	452

Helmond Sport vs Jong PSV U21 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Helmond Sport vs Jong PSV U21

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Helmond Sport	Draw	Jong PSV U21
Model	37.7%	28.5%	33.7%
Market	34.6%	25.0%	40.4%
Final	35.4%	25.9%	38.7%
Edge	+3.1%	+3.5%	-6.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Jong PSV U21

Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

92%

2+ goals

75%

3+ goals

49%

No goals

Helmond Sport and Jong PSV U21 expected goals

Helmond Sport

1.37

Jong PSV U21

1.28

Total expected goals: 2.65

Helmond Sport and Jong PSV U21 attack and defence ratings

Helmond Sport

Attack

0.87 -13%

Defence

0.96 -4%

Jong PSV U21

Attack

0.90 -10%

Defence

0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Helmond Sport vs Jong PSV U21: result vs prediction

Helmond Sport 3 – 1 Jong PSV U21

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

NAC Breda v Jong Utrecht — match page · 2026-09-11
VVV Venlo vs FC OSS — team news & stats · 2026-09-11
Heracles vs Jong AZ · 2026-09-11
Emmen v De Graafschap — match page · 2026-09-11
MVV vs Almere City FC — team news & stats · 2026-09-11
FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht · 2026-09-11
Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk — team news & stats · 2026-09-11
Roda vs Vitesse · 2026-09-12

Before and after this match

Helmond Sport, previous: Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo prediction
Helmond Sport, next: Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport prediction
Jong PSV U21, previous: Jong PSV U21 vs Den Bosch: odds and pick
Jong PSV U21, next: Jong PSV U21 vs Jong AZ: odds and pick

Helmond Sport vs Jong PSV U21 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Jong PSV U21	38.7%	2.58	-6.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	50.5%	1.98	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	55.1%	1.81	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.1%	1.35	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	66.3%	1.51	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Helmond Sport	35.4%
	Draw	25.9%
	Jong PSV U21	38.7%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	49.5%
	Under 2.5	50.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	55.1%
	No	44.9%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	61.3%
	12 (either side)	74.1%
	X2 (draw or away)	64.6%
Handicap -1	Jong PSV U21 win	15.3%
	Push (exactly one goal)	18.4%
	Loss	66.3%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.6%
	2-1	8.5%
	1-0	8.4%

Helmond Sport vs Jong PSV U21 stats

Helmond Sport and Jong PSV U21 recent form

newest first

Helmond Sport	WLDLDL
Jong PSV U21	WDDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Helmond Sport and Jong PSV U21 going into this match

league record before kick-off

Helmond Sport record

They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Jong PSV U21 record

They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.

Helmond Sport vs Jong PSV U21 head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Helmond Sport wins 2Draws 5Jong PSV U21 wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-01-26	Jong PSV U21	Helmond Sport	Eerste Divisie	4-0
2025-11-08	Helmond Sport	Jong PSV U21	Eerste Divisie	2-3
2025-03-14	Helmond Sport	Jong PSV U21	Eerste Divisie	1-1
2024-09-30	Jong PSV U21	Helmond Sport	Eerste Divisie	1-3
2024-01-19	Helmond Sport	Jong PSV U21	Eerste Divisie	2-2
2023-08-28	Jong PSV U21	Helmond Sport	Eerste Divisie	2-1
2023-03-10	Helmond Sport	Jong PSV U21	Eerste Divisie	3-0
2022-10-24	Jong PSV U21	Helmond Sport	Eerste Divisie	6-0
2022-02-04	Jong PSV U21	Helmond Sport	Eerste Divisie	2-0
2021-08-27	Helmond Sport	Jong PSV U21	Eerste Divisie	1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Helmond Sport vs Jong PSV U21 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.5%, draw 25.1%, away 39.3%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.50	3.75	2.50
1xBet	2.69	3.66	2.30
888Sport	2.50	3.40	2.45
Bet365	2.70	3.75	2.38
BetVictor	2.63	3.75	2.30
Betano	2.55	3.60	2.50
Betfair	2.50	3.80	2.50
Dafabet	2.60	3.80	2.48
Marathonbet	2.68	3.68	2.30
Pinnacle	2.74	3.87	2.34
SBO	2.39	3.37	2.30
Superbet	2.57	3.70	2.42
Unibet	2.70	3.55	2.23
William Hill	2.62	3.50	2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.69 ▲ +0.10

X 3.71 ▲ +0.03

2 2.30 ▼ -0.08

9 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-07T16:10:02Z.