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Eerste Divisie · Full time ·Matchday 6

FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht

2 – 1 Full time

15′Martin Vetkal
22′Mika de JongeRayan·Buifrahi
27′Owen Renfrum
41′Rayan·Buifrahi
44′Jaden Pinas
45′Hugo DeenenAmir Bryson
45′Hyman AliLuc Netten
60′Owen Renfrum
61′nicolas rossiSiginho Gerardo
61′Lucas Ayrton RománNick Venema
67′Kevin van VeenNiek Munsters
72′Siginho Gerardo
81′Lorenzo RiccioBjorn Hardley
81′Adil LechkarJurre van Aken
81′Lucas WoudenbergBeni Christophe Mpanzu
87′Bjorn Hardley

Jan Louwers Stadion, Eindhoven

FC Eindhoven 43%
Draw 25%
Dordrecht 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 3
52 Possession % 48
1 Corners 5
16 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 4
2 Saves 1
284 Accurate passes 281

FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC EindhovenDrawDordrecht
Model47.8%23.5%28.6%
Market40.8%25.4%33.8%
Final42.6%24.9%32.5%
Edge+7.0%-1.8%-5.2%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Eindhoven

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.51.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC Eindhoven below the model: +7.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Eindhoven ↓ / Dordrecht → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 10% 7% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

FC Eindhoven and Dordrecht expected goals

FC Eindhoven 1.98
Dordrecht 1.51

Total expected goals: 3.49

FC Eindhoven and Dordrecht attack and defence ratings

FC Eindhoven

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Dordrecht

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.52 +52%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht: result vs prediction

FC Eindhoven 2 – 1 Dordrecht

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Eindhoven 42.6% 2.35 +7.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.8% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.1% 1.47 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.2% 1.92 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Eindhoven42.6%
Draw24.9%
Dordrecht32.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.8%
Under 2.532.2%
Both teams to scoreYes68.1%
No31.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.5%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)57.4%
Handicap -1FC Eindhoven win27.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss52.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.0%
2-19.0%
1-26.9%

FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht stats

FC Eindhoven and Dordrecht recent form

newest first
FC Eindhoven DLLLWW
Dordrecht LLLDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Eindhoven and Dordrecht going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Eindhoven record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Dordrecht record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3FC Eindhoven wins 6Draws 1Dordrecht wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-12DordrechtFC EindhovenEerste Divisie3-4
2025-09-30FC EindhovenDordrechtEerste Divisie2-2
2024-12-20DordrechtFC EindhovenEerste Divisie3-3
2024-09-13FC EindhovenDordrechtEerste Divisie0-0
2024-03-15DordrechtFC EindhovenEerste Divisie0-0
2023-09-29FC EindhovenDordrechtEerste Divisie1-1
2023-02-03DordrechtFC EindhovenEerste Divisie4-0
2022-09-30FC EindhovenDordrechtEerste Divisie1-1
2022-04-01DordrechtFC EindhovenEerste Divisie0-1
2021-11-13FC EindhovenDordrechtEerste Divisie5-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Eindhoven vs Dordrecht odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.4%, draw 25.7%, away 33.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.45 3.65 2.60
1xBet 2.30 3.62 2.76
888Sport 2.30 3.40 2.75
Bet365 2.30 3.70 2.75
BetVictor 2.25 3.70 2.70
Betano 2.32 3.55 2.80
Betfair 2.38 3.80 2.63
Dafabet 2.39 3.70 2.75
Marathonbet 2.26 3.64 2.76
Pinnacle 2.31 3.71 2.87
SBO 2.26 3.33 2.45
Superbet 2.35 3.60 2.72
Unibet 2.40 3.50 2.48
William Hill 2.25 3.50 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.28 ▼ -0.18
X 3.67 ▲ +0.01
2 2.75 ▲ +0.25

9 snapshots recorded, from .