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Eerste Divisie · Full time ·Matchday 7

FC Eindhoven vs Emmen

3 – 1 Full time

27′Luca EverinkDavid Voute
39′Rayan·Buifrahi
45′Luca DenkTorben Rhein
45′Freddy QuispelMustafa Abdullatif
46′Raf van de Riet
53′Jack Cooper Love
58′Joshua Mukeh
59′Kevin van Veen
63′Mustafa Abdullatif
63′Hugo DeenenGideon Constancia
63′Luc NettenLasse Abildgaard
68′Jack Cooper LoveDaan Lambers
68′Sybrand VeldhuisChristian ostergaard
71′Raf van de RietRens Boon
78′Guus Beaumontantonio bazdaric
78′Kevin van VeenNiek Munsters
89′Michael Breij
90′M. van Dam
90′antonio bazdaric

Jan Louwers Stadion, EindhovenReferee: Martin Perez

FC Eindhoven 27%
Draw 23%
Emmen 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 4
42 Possession % 58
3 Corners 2
13 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 2
3 Saves 1
296 Accurate passes 439

FC Eindhoven vs Emmen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Eindhoven vs Emmen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC EindhovenDrawEmmen
Model34.5%22.6%42.9%
Market25.0%22.8%52.2%
Final27.4%22.8%49.9%
Edge+9.4%-0.2%-9.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Emmen

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Eindhoven ↓ / Emmen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 4% 1 9% 8% 5% 4% 2 7% 7% 5% 3 4% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

FC Eindhoven and Emmen expected goals

FC Eindhoven 1.81
Emmen 2.03

Total expected goals: 3.84

FC Eindhoven and Emmen attack and defence ratings

FC Eindhoven

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Emmen

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Eindhoven vs Emmen: result vs prediction

FC Eindhoven 3 – 1 Emmen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

FC Eindhoven vs Emmen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Emmen 49.9% 2.01 -9.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.8% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.5% 1.36 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 77.2% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.1% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Eindhoven27.4%
Draw22.8%
Emmen49.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.8%
Under 2.526.2%
Both teams to scoreYes73.5%
No26.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.1%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)72.6%
Handicap -1Emmen win24.6%
Push (exactly one goal)18.3%
Loss57.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.7%
1-28.0%
2-27.3%

FC Eindhoven vs Emmen stats

FC Eindhoven and Emmen recent form

newest first
FC Eindhoven WDLLLW
Emmen LWLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Eindhoven and Emmen going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Eindhoven record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.

Emmen record

  • They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Eindhoven vs Emmen head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6FC Eindhoven wins 1Draws 3Emmen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-28FC EindhovenEmmenEerste Divisie1-0
2025-10-11EmmenFC EindhovenEerste Divisie6-0
2025-01-19EmmenFC EindhovenEerste Divisie1-2
2024-10-18FC EindhovenEmmenEerste Divisie0-3
2024-02-02EmmenFC EindhovenEerste Divisie1-1
2023-12-08FC EindhovenEmmenEerste Divisie3-2
2022-04-29FC EindhovenEmmenEerste Divisie1-0
2021-08-13EmmenFC EindhovenEerste Divisie0-1
2020-10-28EmmenFC EindhovenKNVB Beker2-0
2018-01-12FC EindhovenEmmenEerste Divisie2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Eindhoven vs Emmen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.0%, draw 22.8%, away 52.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.64 4.05 1.79
Bet365 4.00 4.00 1.75
BetVictor 3.75 4.10 1.75
Betano 3.70 4.05 1.80
Betfair 3.70 4.10 1.75
Marathonbet 3.64 4.05 1.77
Pinnacle 3.69 4.29 1.82
SBO 3.43 3.74 1.76
William Hill 3.50 4.00 1.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.69 ▲ +0.65
X 4.05 ▲ +0.37
2 1.77 ▼ -0.33

14 snapshots recorded, from .