Vitesse
vs
Jong PSV U21
3 – 1 Full time
| 25′ | Filipe de Carvalho Ferreira | ||
| 39′ | Samuel Dumbili | ||
| 45′ | Mikkel Bro HansenAustyn Jones | ||
| 49′ | Aymen·Sellouf | ||
| 62′ | Marco SchikoraYoussef Ouallil | ||
| 62′ | Pontus DahboNino Zonneveld | ||
| 64′ | Naoufal Bannis | ||
| 73′ | Boet MuldersPhilip Holseter-Karlsen | ||
| 73′ | Samuel DumbiliKeziah Oteng-Mensah | ||
| 77′ | Filipe de Carvalho FerreiraJoâo Pinto | ||
| 81′ | Keziah Oteng-MensahGivenciyo Sabajo | ||
| 81′ | Kyano PensoMadi Monamay | ||
| 90′ | Naoufal BannisJeredy Hilterman | ||
| 90′ | Mathijs MarschalkSolomon Bonnah |
Match stats
| 25 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 4 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 6 |
| 256 | Accurate passes | 440 |
Vitesse vs Jong PSV U21 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vitesse vs Jong PSV U21
| Probability | Vitesse | Draw | Jong PSV U21 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.8% | 24.3% | 18.9% |
| Market | 59.3% | 20.9% | 19.8% |
| Final | 58.7% | 21.8% | 19.5% |
| Edge | -2.6% | +3.4% | -0.8% |
Why Vitesse
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.02.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vitesse and Jong PSV U21 expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.91
Vitesse and Jong PSV U21 attack and defence ratings
Vitesse
Jong PSV U21
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vitesse vs Jong PSV U21: result vs prediction
Vitesse 3 – 1 Jong PSV U21
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vitesse vs Jong PSV U21 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitesse | 58.7% | 1.70 | -2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitesse | 58.7% |
| Draw | 21.8% | |
| Jong PSV U21 | 19.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% |
| No | 44.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vitesse win | 33.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 43.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.8% |
Vitesse vs Jong PSV U21 stats
Vitesse and Jong PSV U21 recent form
| Vitesse |
LWWLWD |
| Jong PSV U21 |
DLWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vitesse and Jong PSV U21 going into this match
Vitesse record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jong PSV U21 record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Vitesse vs Jong PSV U21 head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Jong PSV U21 | Vitesse | Eerste Divisie | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-25 | Vitesse | Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie | 3-1 |
| 2024-12-20 | Jong PSV U21 | Vitesse | Eerste Divisie | 6-4 |
| 2024-10-25 | Vitesse | Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vitesse vs Jong PSV U21 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.3%, draw 20.9%, away 19.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 4.35 | 4.72 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.50 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.75 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 4.60 | 4.71 |
| SBO | 1.52 | 4.20 | 4.31 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .