Den Bosch
vs
Helmond Sport
2 – 1 Full time
| 4′ | Silvan Bröker | ||
| 17′ | Ilias Boumassaoudi | ||
| 20′ | Jeffry Fortes | ||
| 23′ | Brian Koglin | ||
| 45′ | Tijn LandheerLovro Golic | ||
| 45′ | Labinot BajramiMauro Lenaerts | ||
| 45′ | Helgi Fróði IngasonTarik Essakkati | ||
| 59′ | Wang BohaoStan Maas | ||
| 59′ | Ilias BoumassaoudiLorenzo Hoffman | ||
| 69′ | Michel Simon LudwigPol Llonch | ||
| 76′ | Lovro Golic | ||
| 80′ | Sem DekkersRayen van Bree | ||
| 88′ | Kevin Felida | ||
| 89′ | Kevin MonzialoSebastian Karlsson Grach | ||
| 89′ | Devon Findell·De CorteGiovanni Hessels | ||
| 90′ | Livio Cicero |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 46 | Possession % | 54 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 7 | Fouls | 17 |
| 7 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 317 | Accurate passes | 403 |
Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport
| Probability | Den Bosch | Draw | Helmond Sport |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.2% | 23.7% | 49.1% |
| Market | 51.4% | 23.1% | 25.4% |
| Final | 45.4% | 23.3% | 31.4% |
| Edge | -24.2% | +0.6% | +23.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Den Bosch and Helmond Sport expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.41
Den Bosch and Helmond Sport attack and defence ratings
Den Bosch
Helmond Sport
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport: result vs prediction
Den Bosch 2 – 1 Helmond Sport
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Den Bosch | 45.4% | 2.20 | -24.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Den Bosch | 45.4% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Helmond Sport | 31.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.6% |
| No | 33.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Den Bosch win | 12.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.6% | |
| Loss | 72.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-1 | 6.7% |
Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport stats
Den Bosch and Helmond Sport recent form
| Den Bosch |
LLLWLD |
| Helmond Sport |
WWLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Den Bosch and Helmond Sport going into this match
Den Bosch record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Helmond Sport record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | Helmond Sport | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Den Bosch | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-02 | Den Bosch | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-06 | Helmond Sport | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie | 0-0 |
| 2024-02-02 | Den Bosch | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-18 | Helmond Sport | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2023-04-14 | Den Bosch | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 1-2 |
| 2022-12-16 | Helmond Sport | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-06 | Helmond Sport | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2021-08-06 | Den Bosch | Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.4%, draw 23.1%, away 25.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.64 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 4.10 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.83 | 4.05 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 4.00 | 3.64 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 4.14 | 3.67 |
| SBO | 1.81 | 3.83 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .