De Graafschap
vs
Den Bosch
1 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | Silvan Bröker | ||
| 22′ | Bjorn van Zijl | ||
| 42′ | Emian-Johar Semedo | ||
| 45′ | Giovanni HesselsJari De Kruijff | ||
| 60′ | Bjorn van ZijlNathan Charles Kaninda | ||
| 60′ | Nart Ahmeti-GraincaNic Hartgers | ||
| 60′ | Jannes Luca·WieckhoffMark Diemers | ||
| 61′ | Emian-Johar SemedoJack de Vries | ||
| 61′ | Silvan BrökerSebastian Karlsson Grach | ||
| 67′ | gijs bolk | ||
| 70′ | Julian kaniaKyano Kwint | ||
| 74′ | Stan MaasLorenzo Hoffman | ||
| 80′ | Donny WarmerdamJoran Hardeman | ||
| 85′ | Wang BohaoJasper Van Heertum |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 282 | Accurate passes | 208 |
De Graafschap vs Den Bosch overview
Garuda Lions analysis: De Graafschap vs Den Bosch
| Probability | De Graafschap | Draw | Den Bosch |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.8% | 21.8% | 34.4% |
| Market | 42.5% | 23.8% | 33.7% |
| Final | 42.8% | 23.3% | 33.9% |
| Edge | +1.3% | -2.0% | +0.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
De Graafschap and Den Bosch expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.07
De Graafschap and Den Bosch attack and defence ratings
De Graafschap
Den Bosch
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
De Graafschap vs Den Bosch: result vs prediction
De Graafschap 1 – 0 Den Bosch
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
De Graafschap vs Den Bosch markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | De Graafschap | 42.8% | 2.33 | +1.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | De Graafschap | 42.8% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Den Bosch | 33.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.1% |
| No | 23.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | De Graafschap win | 25.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 56.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 7.8% |
| 2-1 | 7.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
De Graafschap vs Den Bosch stats
De Graafschap and Den Bosch recent form
| De Graafschap |
LWLLLL |
| Den Bosch |
WLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
De Graafschap and Den Bosch going into this match
De Graafschap record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Den Bosch record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
De Graafschap vs Den Bosch head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | De Graafschap | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-31 | Den Bosch | De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-07 | De Graafschap | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-04 | Den Bosch | De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie | 2-2 |
| 2024-02-23 | De Graafschap | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie | 2-0 |
| 2023-12-15 | Den Bosch | De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie | 0-4 |
| 2023-08-04 | Den Bosch | De Graafschap | Friendlies Clubs | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-19 | De Graafschap | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie | 3-0 |
| 2022-11-04 | Den Bosch | De Graafschap | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2022-02-25 | De Graafschap | Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
De Graafschap vs Den Bosch odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 23.8%, away 33.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.15 | 3.80 | 2.85 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 4.10 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 4.10 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.90 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 4.10 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.80 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.89 | 2.93 |
| SBO | 2.18 | 3.73 | 2.48 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .