Eerste Divisie · Full time ·Matchday 6

Roda vs Vitesse

1 – 0 Full time

13′Guilherme Martinho Peixoto
15′Ricardo-Felipe SchwarzYoussef Ouallil
45′Dario Van Den Buijs
58′Naoufal Bannis
58′Jeremiah MensahCain Seedorf
59′Joey SleegersBram Marsman
63′Filipe de Carvalho FerreiraJeredy Hilterman
74′Anthony van den HurkFynn Schenten
75′Nino ZonneveldJoâo Pinto
75′Naoufal BannisEduard·Probst
75′Youssef OuallilAlexander Büttner
83′Koen JansenX. van den Berg
83′Joshua Nisbetluuk verheij
90′Chiel Olde Keizer

Parkstad Limburg Stadion, Kerkrade

Roda 40%
Draw 27%
Vitesse 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
51 Possession % 49
4 Corners 5
14 Fouls 20
5 Offsides 1
5 Saves 3
354 Accurate passes 309

Roda vs Vitesse overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Roda vs Vitesse

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRodaDrawVitesse
Model29.8%29.1%41.1%
Market43.0%25.7%31.3%
Final39.7%26.5%33.7%
Edge-13.3%+3.4%+9.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Roda ↓ / Vitesse → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 10% 8% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Roda and Vitesse expected goals

Roda 1.15
Vitesse 1.39

Total expected goals: 2.53

Roda and Vitesse attack and defence ratings

Roda

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Vitesse

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Roda vs Vitesse: result vs prediction

Roda 1 – 0 Vitesse

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

Roda vs Vitesse markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Roda 39.7% 2.52 -13.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.5% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.5% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.2% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Roda39.7%
Draw26.5%
Vitesse33.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.5%
Under 2.553.5%
Both teams to scoreYes52.4%
No47.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.3%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)60.3%
Handicap -1Roda win12.5%
Push (exactly one goal)17.3%
Loss70.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
0-19.8%
0-09.2%

Roda vs Vitesse stats

Roda and Vitesse recent form

newest first
Roda DDWWLD
Vitesse WWLWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Roda and Vitesse going into this match

league record before kick-off

Roda record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Vitesse record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

Roda vs Vitesse head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Roda wins 2Draws 6Vitesse wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-03VitesseRodaFriendlies Clubs1-1
2026-03-16RodaVitesseEerste Divisie0-1
2025-10-24VitesseRodaEerste Divisie2-2
2025-04-19VitesseRodaEerste Divisie3-0
2024-11-26RodaVitesseEerste Divisie3-0
2018-03-31VitesseRodaEredivisie0-3
2017-08-18RodaVitesseEredivisie1-3
2017-05-14VitesseRodaEredivisie3-0
2016-08-20RodaVitesseEredivisie0-1
2016-03-06RodaVitesseEredivisie1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Roda vs Vitesse odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.8%, draw 25.8%, away 31.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.20 3.65 2.95
1xBet 2.18 3.60 2.96
Bet365 2.15 3.60 3.00
BetVictor 2.15 3.60 2.90
Betano 2.20 3.55 3.00
Betfair 2.15 3.70 3.00
Dafabet 2.20 3.70 3.10
Marathonbet 2.15 3.64 2.95
Pinnacle 2.20 3.83 2.99
SBO 2.10 3.38 2.78
Unibet 2.23 3.45 2.75
William Hill 2.15 3.50 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.02
X 3.60 ▼ -0.04
2 2.96 ▲ +0.02

11 snapshots recorded, from .