Eerste Divisie · Full time ·Matchday 5

Vitesse vs FC OSS

2 – 1 Full time

50′N. Bannis
53′Richard van der Venne
58′M. EsajasJ. Mathieu
58′M. ErkanK. Silva
58′F. NsingiS. Doucoure
62′K. Silva
67′N. ZonneveldA. Buttner
67′F. de CarvalhoE. Probst
73′M. HinokeL. Mol
78′Julian Kuijpers
79′J. Mathieu
83′Justin Mathieu
86′O. AchouitarM. Steffen
86′N. BannisJ. Pinto
86′J. KuijpersM. Horemans
90′Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz
90′A. SelloufY. Ouallil

GelreDome, ArnhemReferee: R. Sturm

Vitesse 57%
Draw 23%
FC OSS 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
57 Possession % 43
9 Corners 1
15 Fouls 7
1 Saves 1
343 Accurate passes 257

Vitesse vs FC OSS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vitesse vs FC OSS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVitesseDrawFC OSS
Model55.8%23.0%21.3%
Market57.9%22.7%19.4%
Final57.3%22.8%19.9%
Edge-2.1%+0.3%+1.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Vitesse

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.22.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vitesse ↓ / FC OSS → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 10% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 5% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Vitesse and FC OSS expected goals

Vitesse 2.06
FC OSS 1.22

Total expected goals: 3.29

Vitesse and FC OSS attack and defence ratings

Vitesse

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 0.85 -15%

FC OSS

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vitesse vs FC OSS: result vs prediction

Vitesse 2 – 1 FC OSS

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

Vitesse vs FC OSS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vitesse 57.3% 1.74 -2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 63.8% 1.57 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.6% 1.60 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.1% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.2% 2.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vitesse57.3%
Draw22.8%
FC OSS19.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.563.8%
Under 2.536.2%
Both teams to scoreYes62.6%
No37.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.1%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)42.7%
Handicap -1Vitesse win34.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss44.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
2-19.7%
2-07.9%

Vitesse vs FC OSS stats

Vitesse and FC OSS recent form

newest first
Vitesse WLWDLD
FC OSS WLLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vitesse and FC OSS going into this match

league record before kick-off

Vitesse record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

FC OSS record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Vitesse vs FC OSS head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Vitesse wins 3Draws 0FC OSS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-06FC OSSVitesseEerste Divisie1-2
2025-12-07VitesseFC OSSEerste Divisie0-0
2025-05-02FC OSSVitesseEerste Divisie2-2
2024-11-02VitesseFC OSSEerste Divisie0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vitesse vs FC OSS odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.9%, draw 22.7%, away 19.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.57 4.20 5.00
1xBet 1.62 4.05 4.80
Bet365 1.62 4.10 4.75
BetVictor 1.60 4.00 4.75
Betano 1.62 4.05 4.75
Betfair 1.57 4.20 5.00
Dafabet 1.64 4.30 4.90
Marathonbet 1.60 4.05 4.85
Pinnacle 1.63 4.24 4.84
SBO 1.56 3.76 4.19
Superbet 1.61 4.20 4.65
Unibet 1.50 4.10 5.20
William Hill 1.65 3.80 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.61 ▲ +0.06
X 4.10 ▼ -0.20
2 4.80 ▼ -0.30

10 snapshots recorded, from .