MVV
vs
Roda
1 – 1 Full time
| 15′ | O. Dumont | ||
| 46′ | G. PeixotoJ. Sleegers | ||
| 46′ | J. DeomC. Seedorf | ||
| 50′ | Joey Sleegers | ||
| 52′ | Sven Bouland | ||
| 62′ | N. El HamdaouiE. Sierra | ||
| 63′ | Cain Seedorf | ||
| 64′ | K. JansenB. Marsman | ||
| 64′ | M. PaulissenM. Bentoumi | ||
| 71′ | Robert Klaasen | ||
| 77′ | J. MensahF. Schenten | ||
| 78′ | T. VinogradacM. Luijendijk | ||
| 78′ | D. AsanteN. Matoug | ||
| 86′ | Elias Sierra | ||
| 90′ | R. KlaasenL. Schenk | ||
| 90′ | M. HoflandO. Zimuangana | ||
| 90′ | J. Sleegers |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 295 | Accurate passes | 335 |
MVV vs Roda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: MVV vs Roda
| Probability | MVV | Draw | Roda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.6% | 32.0% | 33.3% |
| Market | 30.1% | 27.1% | 42.8% |
| Final | 31.2% | 28.3% | 40.5% |
| Edge | +4.5% | +5.0% | -9.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
MVV and Roda expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.17
MVV and Roda attack and defence ratings
MVV
Roda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
MVV vs Roda: result vs prediction
MVV 1 – 1 Roda
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
MVV vs Roda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roda | 40.5% | 2.47 | -9.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | MVV | 31.2% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Roda | 40.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.2% |
| No | 54.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roda win | 13.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 66.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 12.7% | |
| 1-0 | 11.2% |
MVV vs Roda stats
MVV and Roda recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
MVV and Roda going into this match
MVV record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Roda record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
MVV vs Roda head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Roda | MVV | Eerste Divisie | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | MVV | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-01 | MVV | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 3-2 |
| 2024-09-21 | Roda | MVV | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-17 | MVV | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 0-3 |
| 2023-11-26 | Roda | MVV | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2023-02-05 | Roda | MVV | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2022-09-04 | MVV | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2022-01-07 | Roda | MVV | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2021-11-29 | MVV | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
MVV vs Roda odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.0%, draw 27.0%, away 43.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| 1xBet | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.19 |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.55 | 2.17 |
| Marathonbet | 3.08 | 3.40 | 2.17 |
| Pinnacle | 3.11 | 3.51 | 2.26 |
| SBO | 2.86 | 3.18 | 2.06 |
| Superbet | 3.20 | 3.45 | 2.15 |
| Unibet | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.16 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .