Garuda Lions
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Eerste Divisie · Full time ·Matchday 6

VVV Venlo vs FC OSS

3 – 1 Full time

11′Justin Mathieu
26′Delano Vianello
31′Mattheos Tsigkas
40′Franslyn Nsingi
45′Marcelencio EsajasLars Mol
45′Leonel MiguelQuint Jansen
50′Lars Mol
65′Justin MathieuK. Lubrano
65′Franslyn NsingiSiriné Doucouré
65′Ismail Oulad M'HandAndreas Verstraeten
66′Mattheos TsigkasL. Schmidt
74′Nassim Ait Mouhou
79′Mohammed Odriss
80′Nassim Ait MouhouThomas Janssen
81′Mauresmo HinokeAndy Visser

Seacon - De Koel, Venlo

VVV Venlo 51%
Draw 24%
FC OSS 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
59 Possession % 41
7 Corners 3
12 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 2
4 Saves 3
425 Accurate passes 280

VVV Venlo vs FC OSS overview

Garuda Lions analysis: VVV Venlo vs FC OSS

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVVV VenloDrawFC OSS
Model51.0%23.0%26.0%
Market51.0%23.9%25.1%
Final51.0%23.7%25.3%
Edge-0.1%-0.9%+0.9%

Confidence: Low

Why VVV Venlo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.07 vs 1.45.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

VVV Venlo ↓ / FC OSS → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 5% 10% 6% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 6% 4+ 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

VVV Venlo and FC OSS expected goals

VVV Venlo 2.07
FC OSS 1.45

Total expected goals: 3.52

VVV Venlo and FC OSS attack and defence ratings

VVV Venlo

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.03 +3%

FC OSS

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

VVV Venlo vs FC OSS: result vs prediction

VVV Venlo 3 – 1 FC OSS

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Eerste Divisie

Before and after this match

VVV Venlo vs FC OSS markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 VVV Venlo 51.0% 1.96 -0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.2% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.7% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.3% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.0% 2.04 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2VVV Venlo51.0%
Draw23.7%
FC OSS25.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.2%
Under 2.531.8%
Both teams to scoreYes67.7%
No32.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.7%
12 (either side)76.3%
X2 (draw or away)49.0%
Handicap -1VVV Venlo win30.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss49.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.8%
2-19.2%
2-26.7%

VVV Venlo vs FC OSS stats

VVV Venlo and FC OSS recent form

newest first
VVV Venlo LWWWLW
FC OSS LWLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

VVV Venlo and FC OSS going into this match

league record before kick-off

VVV Venlo record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

FC OSS record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

VVV Venlo vs FC OSS head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2VVV Venlo wins 2Draws 5FC OSS wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-20VVV VenloFC OSSEerste Divisie1-1
2025-09-16FC OSSVVV VenloEerste Divisie2-1
2025-04-04FC OSSVVV VenloEerste Divisie2-1
2024-12-06VVV VenloFC OSSEerste Divisie0-0
2024-03-29VVV VenloFC OSSEerste Divisie2-0
2023-12-15FC OSSVVV VenloEerste Divisie2-1
2023-07-25VVV VenloFC OSSFriendlies Clubs0-2
2023-02-24VVV VenloFC OSSEerste Divisie0-1
2022-08-26FC OSSVVV VenloEerste Divisie1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

VVV Venlo vs FC OSS odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.9%, draw 24.1%, away 25.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.83 4.10 3.60
1xBet 1.84 3.82 3.74
888Sport 1.80 3.70 3.75
Bet365 1.83 4.00 3.90
BetVictor 1.80 4.00 3.60
Betano 1.83 3.90 3.70
Betfair 1.75 4.20 3.75
Dafabet 1.88 3.95 3.75
Marathonbet 1.81 3.84 3.75
Pinnacle 1.87 4.01 3.72
SBO 1.82 3.49 3.20
Superbet 1.87 3.85 3.65
Unibet 1.73 3.85 3.75
William Hill 1.85 3.70 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.83 ▲ +0.03
X 3.92 ▲ +0.04
2 3.73 ▼ -0.05

14 snapshots recorded, from .