NAC Breda
vs
Jong Utrecht
2 – 3 Full time
| 18′ | Imran Nazih | ||
| 19′ | Noa Malik Dundas | ||
| 27′ | Imran NazihPaul Gladon | ||
| 29′ | Paul Gladon | ||
| 36′ | Ferdinand PohlBjorn Menzo | ||
| 44′ | Paul Gladon | ||
| 45′ | Mylan BrouwersMohamed Bouchouari | ||
| 48′ | Noa Malik Dundas | ||
| 54′ | Viggo Plantinga | ||
| 57′ | tijn boggende denRichie Omorowa | ||
| 59′ | Noa Malik Dundas | ||
| 65′ | Emmanuel Chigozie Owen | ||
| 66′ | Massien Ghaddari | ||
| 67′ | Fredrik JensenPepijn Reulen | ||
| 75′ | Boyd LucassenElijah Ikpia | ||
| 80′ | Emmanuel Chigozie OwenKenji Goes | ||
| 80′ | Noa Malik DundasLevi Rietveld | ||
| 84′ | Kenji Goes |
Match stats
| 26 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 64 | Possession % | 36 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Offsides | 5 |
| 1 | Saves | 6 |
| 350 | Accurate passes | 164 |
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht overview
Garuda Lions analysis: NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht
| Probability | NAC Breda | Draw | Jong Utrecht |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.1% | 25.2% | 27.7% |
| Market | 71.8% | 16.7% | 11.5% |
| Final | 65.6% | 18.8% | 15.6% |
| Edge | -24.7% | +8.5% | +16.2% |
Why NAC Breda
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.34.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
NAC Breda and Jong Utrecht expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
NAC Breda and Jong Utrecht attack and defence ratings
NAC Breda
Jong Utrecht
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht: result vs prediction
NAC Breda 2 – 3 Jong Utrecht
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NAC Breda | 65.6% | 1.52 | -24.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NAC Breda | 65.6% |
| Draw | 18.8% | |
| Jong Utrecht | 15.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.6% |
| No | 37.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | NAC Breda win | 26.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 52.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-2 | 7.0% |
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht stats
NAC Breda and Jong Utrecht recent form
| NAC Breda |
LDWLWD |
| Jong Utrecht |
DLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
NAC Breda and Jong Utrecht going into this match
NAC Breda record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jong Utrecht record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-01 | NAC Breda | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 3-1 |
| 2023-10-02 | Jong Utrecht | NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-20 | Jong Utrecht | NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie | 4-1 |
| 2022-09-16 | NAC Breda | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 3-1 |
| 2022-04-04 | Jong Utrecht | NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie | 1-0 |
| 2021-11-19 | NAC Breda | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2021-04-09 | NAC Breda | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 3-1 |
| 2020-09-21 | Jong Utrecht | NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie | 0-2 |
| 2019-09-13 | NAC Breda | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 71.9%, draw 16.6%, away 11.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.28 | 5.75 | 8.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.29 | 5.60 | 8.35 |
| 888Sport | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 5.75 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.31 | 5.40 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 6.00 | 9.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.29 | 6.20 | 8.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 5.55 | 8.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31 | 5.92 | 8.15 |
| SBO | 1.28 | 4.94 | 6.28 |
| Superbet | 1.28 | 5.85 | 7.80 |
| Unibet | 1.26 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .