Jong Ajax
vs
Waalwijk
0 – 2 Full time
| 41′ | Sinclair de Falco | ||
| 62′ | Ryan FageYoram van der Veen | ||
| 62′ | Keyan Anderson Pereira VarelaVirgil Misidjan | ||
| 66′ | Finn StokkersJesse van de Haar | ||
| 70′ | Ryan van de PavertLeroy Fränkel | ||
| 70′ | Mohamed Jabou AbdallaLevi Acheampong | ||
| 70′ | emre unuvarRayane Bounida | ||
| 80′ | Mark VerkuijlJinairo Johnson | ||
| 84′ | Virgil Misidjan | ||
| 85′ | Pharell NashJeshurun Simeon | ||
| 90′ | Jesse van de Haar | ||
| 90′ | Yoram van der Veen |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 21 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 379 | Accurate passes | 308 |
Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk
| Probability | Jong Ajax | Draw | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.3% | 22.5% | 48.3% |
| Market | 28.6% | 23.4% | 48.0% |
| Final | 28.8% | 23.2% | 48.1% |
| Edge | +0.7% | -0.9% | +0.3% |
Why Waalwijk
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.64.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Jong Ajax and Waalwijk expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.76
Jong Ajax and Waalwijk attack and defence ratings
Jong Ajax
Waalwijk
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk: result vs prediction
Jong Ajax 0 – 2 Waalwijk
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waalwijk | 48.1% | 2.08 | +0.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jong Ajax | 28.8% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Waalwijk | 48.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.8% |
| No | 28.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Waalwijk win | 28.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 51.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.9% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk stats
Jong Ajax and Waalwijk recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Jong Ajax and Waalwijk going into this match
Jong Ajax record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Waalwijk record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-22 | Jong Ajax | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-29 | Waalwijk | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2019-01-18 | Waalwijk | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie | 4-1 |
| 2018-10-19 | Jong Ajax | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 2-1 |
| 2018-01-26 | Waalwijk | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie | 2-4 |
| 2017-09-11 | Jong Ajax | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
| 2017-02-03 | Jong Ajax | Waalwijk | Eerste Divisie | 4-1 |
| 2016-08-26 | Waalwijk | Jong Ajax | Eerste Divisie | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Jong Ajax vs Waalwijk odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.3%, draw 23.9%, away 47.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.30 | 3.85 | 1.95 |
| 1xBet | 3.35 | 3.90 | 1.93 |
| 888Sport | 3.30 | 3.60 | 1.95 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 4.10 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.13 | 4.00 | 1.95 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.80 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.95 | 2.02 |
| Marathonbet | 3.35 | 3.90 | 1.91 |
| Pinnacle | 3.37 | 4.04 | 1.97 |
| SBO | 2.90 | 3.40 | 1.96 |
| Superbet | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.00 |
| Unibet | 3.00 | 3.75 | 1.97 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 4.00 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .