Jong Utrecht
vs
Roda
Garuda Lions Prediction: Roda
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Jong Utrecht vs Roda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Jong Utrecht vs Roda
| Probability | Jong Utrecht | Draw | Roda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.0% | 29.7% | 35.3% |
| Market | 26.2% | 25.0% | 48.9% |
| Final | 28.4% | 26.2% | 45.5% |
| Edge | +8.8% | +4.8% | -13.6% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.07, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Jong Utrecht vs Roda match preview
In the upcoming Eerste Divisie match, Jong Utrecht faces Roda with probabilities indicating a 28% chance for Jong Utrecht to win, a 26% likelihood of a draw, and a 46% chance for Roda to secure victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to have an equal number of expected goals at 1.24 each, while there is a 52% chance that both teams will score and a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Recent form shows Jong Utrecht with two losses, one win, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, while Roda has recorded two draws, one loss, one win, and one draw. In their last two encounters, Jong Utrecht has not won, with one draw and one loss to Roda. The confidence grade for this match stands at C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Jong Utrecht and Roda expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Jong Utrecht and Roda attack and defence ratings
Jong Utrecht
Roda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Jong Utrecht vs Roda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roda | 45.5% | 2.20 | -13.6% | 2.07 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jong Utrecht | 28.4% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Roda | 45.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roda win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 64.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-0 | 9.7% | |
| 0-1 | 9.1% |
Jong Utrecht vs Roda stats
Jong Utrecht and Roda recent form
| Jong Utrecht |
LLWWDL |
| Roda |
DLWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Jong Utrecht and Roda season so far
Jong Utrecht record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
Roda record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Jong Utrecht vs Roda head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-22 | Jong Utrecht | Roda | Eerste Divisie | 1-3 |
| 2025-11-01 | Roda | Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Jong Utrecht vs Roda odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.2%, draw 25.0%, away 48.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.54 | 3.70 | 1.90 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.70 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.87 |
| Betano | 3.25 | 3.55 | 2.07 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.80 | 1.90 |
| Dafabet | 3.55 | 3.85 | 1.96 |
| Marathonbet | 3.52 | 3.70 | 1.88 |
| Pinnacle | 3.67 | 3.79 | 1.88 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .